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Correct Score Predictions

Most likely scoreline for every fixture, from our prediction model β€” Thursday 8 December 2022

The Model Score is the same most-likely scoreline already shown on each fixture's own Predictions tab, from our prediction model. Once a fixture finishes, it's highlighted green if the model score matched the actual result shown above it exactly.

Nine fixtures cleared the bar on Thursday 8 December 2022. The strongest reading belongs to Reggina vs Frosinone at 56% in the Serie B. The shortlist runs from 56% down to 28%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Serie B supplies nine of the top 9, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie B Β· Italy
Parma
0 : 1 FT
Benevento
Win 39%
Draw 30%
Win 31%
✓ Under 2.5 54%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Serie B Β· Italy
Cittadella
0 : 3 FT
Bari
Win 31%
Draw 35%
Win 34%
Under 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS No 62%
Model Score 0–0 Β· 16%
Serie B Β· Italy
Cosenza
1 : 1 FT
Brescia
Win 44%
Draw 27%
Win 29%
✓ BTTS Yes 56%
✓ Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Serie B Β· Italy
Genoa
2 : 0 FT
Sudtirol
Win 30%
Draw 33%
Win 37%
✓ Under 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS No 59%
Model Score 0–1 Β· 14%
Serie B Β· Italy
Modena
2 : 2 FT
Venezia
Win 35%
Draw 30%
Win 35%
Under 2.5 56%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Serie B Β· Italy
Perugia
0 : 0 FT
Spal
Win 35%
Draw 32%
Win 33%
✓ Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 56%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Serie B Β· Italy
Reggina
0 : 3 FT
Frosinone
Win 49%
Draw 26%
Win 26%
✓ Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Serie B Β· Italy
Pisa
2 : 0 FT
Ascoli
βœ“ Win 39%
Draw 29%
Win 33%
BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Serie B Β· Italy
Palermo
0 : 0 FT
Como
Win 40%
Draw 28%
Win 31%
BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%

Showing 9 of 9 fixtures for the day, in kick-off order. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Correct Score β€” common questions

What does the Correct Score market mean?

Correct Score settles on whether a match finishes on one exact scoreline. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate correct score probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The most likely scoreline shown here is the single highest-probability cell in the model's full score matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Correct Score on Thursday 8 December 2022?

nine fixtures met the criteria, led by Reggina vs Frosinone at 56% most likely scoreline.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the model's single most likely scoreline for each fixture, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these correct score predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.