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Correct Score Predictions

Most likely scoreline for every fixture, from our prediction model β€” Saturday 19 November 2022

The Model Score is the same most-likely scoreline already shown on each fixture's own Predictions tab, from our prediction model. Once a fixture finishes, it's highlighted green if the model score matched the actual result shown above it exactly.

36 matches cleared our threshold on Saturday 19 November 2022. Heracles vs FC OSS led the list at 75% in the Eerste Divisie. The shortlist runs from 75% down to 26%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Eerste Divisie supplies four of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Thai League 1 Β· Thailand
Bangkok United
1 : 1 FT
Prachuap
Win 77%
Draw 14%
Win 9%
Over 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 2–0 Β· 10%
Premier League Β· Ukraine
Dnipro-1
2 : 1 FT
Shakhtar Donetsk
βœ“ Win 40%
Draw 25%
Win 34%
✓ BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Thai League 1 Β· Thailand
Chiangrai United
3 : 1 FT
Muangthong United
βœ“ Win 47%
Draw 27%
Win 26%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
League One Β· England
Exeter City
0 : 2 FT
Ipswich
Win 28%
Draw 21%
βœ“ Win 51%
Over 2.5 73% BTTS Yes 71%
Model Score 1–2 Β· 9%
Thai League 1 Β· Thailand
Sukhothai FC
0 : 0 FT
Nong Bua Pitchaya
Win 36%
Draw 31%
Win 33%
✓ Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 57%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Premier League Β· Ukraine
Kolos Kovalivka
1 : 2 FT
Vorskla Poltava
Win 50%
Draw 27%
Win 23%
Under 2.5 59% BTTS No 55%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 14%
Thai League 1 Β· Thailand
Port FC
1 : 3 FT
Buriram United
Win 33%
Draw 27%
βœ“ Win 40%
✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
League One Β· England
Barnsley
3 : 1 FT
Milton Keynes Dons
Win 25%
Draw 30%
Win 45%
Under 2.5 66% BTTS No 60%
Model Score 0–1 Β· 16%
League One Β· England
Bristol Rovers
1 : 0 FT
Peterborough
βœ“ Win 40%
Draw 22%
Win 38%
Over 2.5 71% BTTS Yes 71%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 9%
League One Β· England
Burton Albion
2 : 2 FT
Plymouth
Win 25%
Draw 22%
Win 53%
✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 10%
League One Β· England
Cambridge United
0 : 1 FT
Accrington ST
Win 43%
Draw 29%
Win 29%
✓ Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 55%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 13%
League One Β· England
Cheltenham
1 : 0 FT
Wycombe
Win 33%
Draw 28%
Win 38%
✓ Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 53%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
League One Β· England
Fleetwood Town
1 : 2 FT
Bolton
Win 37%
Draw 33%
Win 29%
Under 2.5 74% BTTS No 66%
Model Score 0–0 Β· 17%
League One Β· England
Lincoln
2 : 1 FT
Morecambe
βœ“ Win 48%
Draw 28%
Win 23%
Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 59%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 15%
League One Β· England
Oxford United
1 : 1 FT
Forest Green
Win 59%
Draw 22%
Win 19%
Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%
✓ Model Score 1–1 Β· 10%
League One Β· England
Port Vale
1 : 0 FT
Charlton
βœ“ Win 38%
Draw 26%
Win 36%
BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
League One Β· England
Sheffield Wednesday
1 : 0 FT
Shrewsbury
βœ“ Win 53%
Draw 24%
Win 23%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
League Two Β· England
Barrow
3 : 1 FT
Hartlepool
βœ“ Win 61%
Draw 23%
Win 16%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 13%
League Two Β· England
Bradford
1 : 3 FT
Northampton
Win 28%
Draw 29%
βœ“ Win 43%
Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 55%
Model Score 0–1 Β· 13%
League Two Β· England
Colchester
3 : 0 FT
Doncaster
βœ“ Win 40%
Draw 28%
Win 33%
Under 2.5 55%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
League Two Β· England
Grimsby
1 : 1 FT
Stevenage
Win 29%
Draw 30%
Win 41%
✓ Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 56%
Model Score 0–1 Β· 14%
League Two Β· England
Harrogate Town
3 : 0 FT
Mansfield Town
Win 26%
Draw 25%
Win 49%
BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
League Two Β· England
Newport County
2 : 0 FT
Gillingham
βœ“ Win 45%
Draw 32%
Win 23%
✓ Under 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS No 65%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 18%
League Two Β· England
Salford City
1 : 4 FT
Carlisle
Win 34%
Draw 30%
βœ“ Win 37%
Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 55%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
League Two Β· England
Stockport County
1 : 2 FT
Leyton Orient
Win 29%
Draw 30%
βœ“ Win 41%
Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 56%
Model Score 0–1 Β· 14%
League Two Β· England
Sutton Utd
1 : 0 FT
Rochdale
βœ“ Win 42%
Draw 30%
Win 28%
✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 57%
✓ Model Score 1–0 Β· 14%
League Two Β· England
Swindon Town
0 : 1 FT
Crewe
Win 64%
Draw 24%
Win 13%
✓ Under 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS No 62% Swindon Town Clean Sheet 54%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 17%
League Two Β· England
Tranmere
0 : 2 FT
AFC Wimbledon
Win 50%
Draw 28%
Win 23%
✓ Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 56%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 14%
League Two Β· England
Walsall
2 : 1 FT
Crawley Town
βœ“ Win 61%
Draw 23%
Win 16%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 13%
Eliteserien Β· Norway
Kongsvinger
2 : 1 FT
Sandefjord
βœ“ Win 49%
Draw 23%
Win 28%
✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 10%
Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium
Beerschot VA
1 : 0 FT
Club Brugge II
βœ“ Win 49%
Draw 23%
Win 28%
Over 2.5 65% BTTS Yes 65%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 10%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Den Bosch
0 : 2 FT
VVV Venlo
Win 47%
Draw 21%
Win 33%
Over 2.5 74% BTTS Yes 72%
Model Score 2–1 Β· 8%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Heracles
3 : 0 FT
FC OSS
βœ“ Win 70%
Draw 16%
Win 14%
✓ Over 2.5 75% BTTS Yes 65%
Model Score 2–1 Β· 9%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
MVV
1 : 0 FT
Almere City FC
βœ“ Win 57%
Draw 21%
Win 21%
Over 2.5 62% BTTS Yes 60%
Model Score 2–1 Β· 10%
Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium
SK Beveren
1 : 1 FT
RWDM
Win 50%
Draw 25%
Win 25%
✓ Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
NAC Breda
0 : 2 FT
PEC Zwolle
Win 26%
Draw 23%
βœ“ Win 51%
Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 60%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%

Showing 36 of 36 fixtures for the day, in kick-off order. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Correct Score β€” common questions

What does the Correct Score market mean?

Correct Score settles on whether a match finishes on one exact scoreline. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate correct score probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The most likely scoreline shown here is the single highest-probability cell in the model's full score matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Correct Score on Saturday 19 November 2022?

36 fixtures met the criteria, led by Heracles vs FC OSS at 75% most likely scoreline.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the model's single most likely scoreline for each fixture, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these correct score predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.