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Correct Score Predictions

Most likely scoreline for every fixture, from our prediction model β€” Tuesday 22 November 2022

The Model Score is the same most-likely scoreline already shown on each fixture's own Predictions tab, from our prediction model. Once a fixture finishes, it's highlighted green if the model score matched the actual result shown above it exactly.

Five fixtures cleared the bar on Tuesday 22 November 2022. The strongest reading belongs to Henan Jianye vs Wuhan Zall at 57% in the Super League. The shortlist runs from 57% down to 35%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Super League supplies four of the top 5, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Super League Β· China
Shijiazhuang Y. J.
1 : 1 FT
Dalian Aerbin
Win 37%
Draw 31%
Win 31%
✓ Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 57%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 14%
Super League Β· China
Henan Jianye
3 : 0 FT
Wuhan Zall
βœ“ Win 58%
Draw 23%
Win 18%
✓ Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 10%
Super League Β· China
Hangzhou Greentown
2 : 1 FT
SHANGHAI SIPG
Win 28%
Draw 26%
Win 46%
✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Super League Β· China
Shenzhen Ruby FC
2 : 1 FT
Guangzhou Evergrande FC
βœ“ Win 34%
Draw 32%
Win 34%
Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 57%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 14%
League Two Β· England
Crawley Town
0 : 0 FT
Gillingham
Win 64%
Draw 23%
Win 13%
✓ Under 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS No 62% ✓ Crawley Town Clean Sheet 54%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 17%

Showing 5 of 5 fixtures for the day, in kick-off order. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Correct Score β€” common questions

What does the Correct Score market mean?

Correct Score settles on whether a match finishes on one exact scoreline. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate correct score probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The most likely scoreline shown here is the single highest-probability cell in the model's full score matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Correct Score on Tuesday 22 November 2022?

five fixtures met the criteria, led by Henan Jianye vs Wuhan Zall at 57% most likely scoreline.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the model's single most likely scoreline for each fixture, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these correct score predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.