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Correct Score Predictions

Most likely scoreline for every fixture, from our prediction model — Friday 12 August 2022

The Model Score is the same most-likely scoreline already shown on each fixture's own Predictions tab, from our prediction model. Once a fixture finishes, it's highlighted green if the model score matched the actual result shown above it exactly.

34 matches cleared our threshold on Friday 12 August 2022. Wuhan Three Towns vs Beijing Guoan led the list at 77% in the Super League. The shortlist runs from 77% down to 21%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

The shortlist spans eight different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primera División · Chile
U. Catolica
2 : 2 FT
O'Higgins
Win 51%
Draw 31%
Win 18%
Under 2.5 73% BTTS No 68% U. Catolica Clean Sheet 55%
Model Score 1–0 · 20%
Super League · China
Wuhan Three Towns
5 : 1 FT
Beijing Guoan
✓ Win 74%
Draw 14%
Win 12%
✓ Over 2.5 77% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
Model Score 2–1 · 8%
Super League · China
Guangzhou Evergrande FC
1 : 2 FT
Chengdu Better City
Win 33%
Draw 36%
Win 31%
Under 2.5 79% BTTS No 70%
Model Score 0–0 · 20%
Super League · China
Shijiazhuang Y. J.
0 : 2 FT
Shandong Luneng
Win 32%
Draw 29%
✓ Win 39%
✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Thai League 1 · Thailand
Bangkok United
2 : 0 FT
Khon Kaen United
✓ Win 52%
Draw 25%
Win 22%
Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 60%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Veikkausliiga · Finland
Haka
3 : 2 FT
AC Oulu
✓ Win 40%
Draw 25%
Win 36%
✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Ekstraklasa · Poland
Miedz Legnica
0 : 1 FT
Zaglebie Lubin
Win 29%
Draw 28%
✓ Win 44%
✓ Under 2.5 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
2. Bundesliga · Germany
1. FC Nürnberg
0 : 3 FT
1. FC Heidenheim
Win 42%
Draw 29%
Win 29%
Under 2.5 58%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
2. Bundesliga · Germany
1. FC Kaiserslautern
0 : 1 FT
SC Paderborn 07
Win 40%
Draw 27%
Win 33%
BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Premier League · Russia
Fakel
0 : 0 FT
Ural
Win 49%
Draw 25%
Win 26%
Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 65%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Eliteserien · Norway
Sandefjord
2 : 5 FT
Rosenborg
Win 32%
Draw 22%
✓ Win 46%
✓ Over 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS Yes 68%
Model Score 1–1 · 9%
Eliteserien · Norway
Sarpsborg 08 FF
1 : 4 FT
Bodo/Glimt
Win 32%
Draw 24%
✓ Win 44%
✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
Excelsior
3 : 1 FT
Vitesse
Win 30%
Draw 25%
Win 45%
✓ BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Almere City FC
3 : 0 FT
FC OSS
✓ Win 46%
Draw 24%
Win 30%
✓ Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
De Graafschap
1 : 2 FT
VVV Venlo
Win 42%
Draw 25%
Win 33%
✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
FC Eindhoven
2 : 1 FT
Willem II
✓ Win 60%
Draw 21%
Win 19%
✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
✓ Model Score 2–1 · 10%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Helmond Sport
1 : 3 FT
Jong AZ
Win 36%
Draw 24%
✓ Win 39%
✓ Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Roda
1 : 0 FT
Jong Ajax
✓ Win 55%
Draw 21%
Win 24%
Over 2.5 67% BTTS Yes 65%
Model Score 2–1 · 9%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Telstar
0 : 5 FT
PEC Zwolle
Win 47%
Draw 24%
Win 29%
✓ Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Challenger Pro League · Belgium
Dender
1 : 4 FT
Lommel United
Win 33%
Draw 25%
✓ Win 41%
✓ BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Challenger Pro League · Belgium
Excelsior Virton
1 : 1 FT
RWDM
Win 38%
Draw 26%
Win 35%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Süper Lig · Turkey
Trabzonspor
1 : 0 FT
Hatayspor
✓ Win 53%
Draw 25%
Win 22%
Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 61%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Bundesliga · Germany
SC Freiburg
1 : 3 FT
Borussia Dortmund
Win 35%
Draw 24%
✓ Win 41%
✓ Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 68%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Ekstraklasa · Poland
Widzew Łódź
1 : 2 FT
Legia Warszawa
Win 36%
Draw 26%
✓ Win 38%
✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Serie B · Italy
Parma
2 : 2 FT
Bari
Win 54%
Draw 25%
Win 21%
Model Score 1–0 · 12%
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Oostende
1 : 3 FT
Gent
Win 39%
Draw 25%
Win 36%
✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Premier Division · Ireland
Bohemians
0 : 1 FT
Dundalk
Win 39%
Draw 30%
Win 30%
✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 56%
Model Score 1–0 · 13%
Premier Division · Ireland
Derry City
0 : 0 FT
Shamrock Rovers
Win 31%
Draw 29%
Win 40%
✓ Under 2.5 59%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Premier Division · Ireland
Drogheda United
3 : 1 FT
Shelbourne
✓ Win 37%
Draw 32%
Win 31%
Under 2.5 69% BTTS No 61%
Model Score 1–0 · 15%
Premier Division · Ireland
UCD
2 : 1 FT
Finn Harps
Win 31%
Draw 28%
Win 41%
Under 2.5 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Championship · England
Watford
1 : 0 FT
Burnley
✓ Win 38%
Draw 34%
Win 28%
✓ Under 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS No 62%
✓ Model Score 1–0 · 16%
Ligue 1 · France
Nantes
1 : 1 FT
Lille
Win 45%
Draw 25%
Win 30%
Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 12%
La Liga · Spain
Osasuna
2 : 1 FT
Sevilla
Win 33%
Draw 32%
Win 35%
Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 53%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Primeira Liga · Portugal
Famalicao
0 : 3 FT
SC Braga
Win 42%
Draw 27%
Win 32%
Under 2.5 53%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%

Showing 34 of 34 fixtures for the day, in kick-off order. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Correct Score — common questions

What does the Correct Score market mean?

Correct Score settles on whether a match finishes on one exact scoreline. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate correct score probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The most likely scoreline shown here is the single highest-probability cell in the model's full score matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Correct Score on Friday 12 August 2022?

34 fixtures met the criteria, led by Wuhan Three Towns vs Beijing Guoan at 77% most likely scoreline.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the model's single most likely scoreline for each fixture, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these correct score predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.