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Correct Score Predictions

Most likely scoreline for every fixture, from our prediction model β€” Friday 17 September 2021

The Model Score is the same most-likely scoreline already shown on each fixture's own Predictions tab, from our prediction model. Once a fixture finishes, it's highlighted green if the model score matched the actual result shown above it exactly.

The model shortlists 38 fixtures on Friday 17 September 2021. Sigma Olomouc vs Baník Ostrava sits top on 74% in the Czech Liga. The shortlist runs from 74% down to 15%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Eerste Divisie supplies four of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Thai League 1 Β· Thailand
Pattaya United
3 : 1 FT
Bangkok United
Win 28%
Draw 32%
Win 40%
✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Primera División Β· Chile
Cobresal
1 : 1 FT
Huachipato
Win 53%
Draw 24%
Win 23%
Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
✓ Model Score 1–1 Β· 10%
Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates
Al-Jazira
3 : 2 FT
Emirates Club
βœ“ Win 49%
Draw 34%
Win 17%
Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 59%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 17%
Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates
Ajman
1 : 1 FT
Al Urooba
Win 60%
Draw 28%
Win 12%
✓ Under 2.5 56% BTTS No 56%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 15%
Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al Taawon
3 : 5 FT
Al-Raed
Win 40%
Draw 34%
Win 26%
Under 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Damac
1 : 1 FT
Al Shabab
Win 57%
Draw 31%
Win 12%
✓ Under 2.5 58% BTTS No 55%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 16%
Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Zaglebie Lubin
2 : 1 FT
Nieciecza
βœ“ Win 44%
Draw 31%
Win 24%
Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 57%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 15%
Serie B Β· Italy
Como
0 : 2 FT
Frosinone
Win 25%
Draw 30%
βœ“ Win 45%
✓ Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 58%
Model Score 0–1 Β· 15%
Super League 1 Β· Greece
Ionikos
1 : 0 FT
Aris Thessalonikis
βœ“ Win 51%
Draw 36%
Win 13%
✓ Under 2.5 85% ✓ BTTS No 81% ✓ Ionikos Clean Sheet 70%
Model Score 0–0 Β· 26%
2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
FC Schalke 04
1 : 2 FT
Karlsruher SC
Win 34%
Draw 33%
Win 33%
✓ BTTS Yes 60%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
1. FC Nürnberg
1 : 0 FT
Hansa Rostock
βœ“ Win 41%
Draw 35%
Win 25%
✓ Under 2.5 56%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Premier League Β· Ukraine
Desna
1 : 0 FT
Ruh Lviv
βœ“ Win 51%
Draw 28%
Win 22%
✓ Under 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS No 53%
✓ Model Score 1–0 Β· 14%
Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Yeni Malatyaspor
3 : 4 FT
Fatih Karagümrük
Win 39%
Draw 30%
Win 30%
Under 2.5 67% BTTS No 60%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 14%
Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Altay
2 : 1 FT
Göztepe
βœ“ Win 43%
Draw 27%
Win 31%
Under 2.5 54%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates
Al Ain
4 : 1 FT
Al-Ittihad Kalba
βœ“ Win 41%
Draw 40%
Win 20%
Under 2.5 73% BTTS No 63%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 18%
Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic
Hradec Králové
2 : 0 FT
Pardubice
βœ“ Win 46%
Draw 26%
Win 28%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic
Sigma Olomouc
1 : 1 FT
Baník Ostrava
Win 58%
Draw 19%
Win 23%
Over 2.5 74% ✓ BTTS Yes 70%
Model Score 2–1 Β· 9%
Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al-Ahli Jeddah
1 : 1 FT
Al-Fateh
Win 28%
βœ“ Draw 37%
Win 34%
✓ Under 2.5 63%
✓ Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
Sparta Rotterdam
1 : 1 FT
NEC Nijmegen
Win 56%
Draw 23%
Win 20%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 12%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Almere City FC
2 : 4 FT
Jong Ajax
Win 59%
Draw 21%
Win 20%
✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 2–1 Β· 10%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Den Bosch
2 : 1 FT
Jong AZ
Win 21%
Draw 22%
Win 57%
✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 10%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Dordrecht
0 : 1 FT
Telstar
Win 50%
Draw 25%
Win 25%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
De Graafschap
3 : 1 FT
Excelsior
Win 13%
Draw 19%
Win 68%
✓ Over 2.5 57%
Model Score 0–2 Β· 12%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Helmond Sport
0 : 3 FT
Jong Utrecht
Win 35%
Draw 28%
βœ“ Win 37%
Under 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS No 53%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
MVV
1 : 0 FT
FC Eindhoven
βœ“ Win 48%
Draw 21%
Win 31%
Over 2.5 71% BTTS Yes 70%
Model Score 2–1 Β· 9%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
NAC Breda
1 : 2 FT
Emmen
Win 45%
Draw 26%
Win 29%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Roda
2 : 0 FT
FC OSS
βœ“ Win 41%
Draw 28%
Win 31%
✓ Under 2.5 58%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
FC Volendam
2 : 1 FT
VVV Venlo
βœ“ Win 44%
Draw 25%
Win 31%
✓ Over 2.5 53% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium
RWDM
1 : 3 FT
SK Beveren
Win 21%
Draw 30%
βœ“ Win 49%
✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Bundesliga Β· Germany
Hertha BSC
2 : 1 FT
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
βœ“ Win 66%
Draw 23%
Win 11%
✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 2–0 Β· 10%
Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Lech Poznan
5 : 0 FT
Wisla Krakow
βœ“ Win 43%
Draw 30%
Win 27%
Under 2.5 58%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Serie B Β· Italy
Brescia
2 : 2 FT
Crotone
Win 58%
Draw 20%
Win 21%
✓ Over 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS Yes 68%
Model Score 2–1 Β· 9%
Serie A Β· Italy
Sassuolo
0 : 1 FT
Torino
Win 38%
Draw 28%
Win 34%
✓ Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 54%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
Cercle Brugge
1 : 2 FT
AS Eupen
Win 15%
Draw 19%
βœ“ Win 67%
✓ Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 0–2 Β· 10%
Premier League Β· England
Newcastle
1 : 1 FT
Leeds
Win 49%
Draw 23%
Win 28%
Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
✓ Model Score 1–1 Β· 10%
Ligue 1 Β· France
Strasbourg
3 : 0 FT
Metz
βœ“ Win 39%
Draw 32%
Win 29%
✓ Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 62%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
La Liga Β· Spain
Celta Vigo
1 : 2 FT
Cadiz
Win 27%
Draw 35%
βœ“ Win 38%
Under 2.5 66% BTTS No 56%
Model Score 0–1 Β· 14%
Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Portimonense
2 : 1 FT
Santa Clara
Win 32%
Draw 41%
Win 27%
Under 2.5 74% BTTS No 62%
Model Score 0–0 Β· 17%

Showing 38 of 38 fixtures for the day, in kick-off order. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Correct Score β€” common questions

What does the Correct Score market mean?

Correct Score settles on whether a match finishes on one exact scoreline. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate correct score probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The most likely scoreline shown here is the single highest-probability cell in the model's full score matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Correct Score on Friday 17 September 2021?

38 fixtures met the criteria, led by Sigma Olomouc vs Baník Ostrava at 74% most likely scoreline.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the model's single most likely scoreline for each fixture, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these correct score predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.