Correct Score Predictions
Most likely scoreline for every fixture, from our prediction model — Saturday 3 October 2020
The Model Score is the same most-likely scoreline already shown on each fixture's own Predictions tab, from our prediction model. Once a fixture finishes, it's highlighted green if the model score matched the actual result shown above it exactly.
Ten matches cleared our threshold on Saturday 3 October 2020. RB Leipzig vs FC Schalke 04 led the list at 74% in the Bundesliga. The shortlist runs from 74% down to 45%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.
Bundesliga supplies six of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.
Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.
Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Allsvenskan · Sweden
Allsvenskan · Sweden
Bundesliga · Germany
Bundesliga · Germany
Bundesliga · Germany
Bundesliga · Germany
Bundesliga · Germany
Eliteserien · Norway
Bundesliga · Germany
Eliteserien · Norway
Showing 10 of 10 fixtures for the day, in kick-off order. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.
Related markets
Correct Score — common questions
What does the Correct Score market mean?
Correct Score settles on whether a match finishes on one exact scoreline. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.
How does Fixture360 calculate correct score probability?
Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The most likely scoreline shown here is the single highest-probability cell in the model's full score matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.
How many fixtures qualified for Correct Score on Saturday 3 October 2020?
ten fixtures met the criteria, led by RB Leipzig vs FC Schalke 04 at 74% most likely scoreline.
Which fixtures appear on this page?
Fixtures with the model's single most likely scoreline for each fixture, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.
How accurate are these correct score predictions?
Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.
Are these predictions betting tips?
No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.