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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability β€” Saturday 10 October 2026

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet β€” making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

20 matches cleared our threshold on Saturday 10 October 2026. The strongest reading belongs to Shrewsbury vs Exeter City at 51% in the League Two. The shortlist runs from 51% down to 41%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

League Two supplies three of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, nine landed the clean sheet market — 45%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 League Two Β· England
Shrewsbury
0 : 1 FT
Exeter City
Win 51%
Draw 33%
Win 16%
✓ Under 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS No 61%
#2 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
Genk
3 : 0 FT
Kortrijk
βœ“ Win 74%
Draw 17%
Win 9%
✓ Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS No 55%
#3 League Two Β· England
York
1 : 1 FT
Northampton
Win 69%
Draw 21%
Win 9%
Over 2.5 55% BTTS No 53%
#4 Veikkausliiga Β· Finland
Turku PS
0 : 1 FT
FF Jaro
Win 67%
Draw 20%
Win 13%
✓ BTTS No 56%
#5 Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Alanyaspor
0 : 0 FT
Erzurumspor FK
Win 65%
Draw 21%
Win 14%
✓ BTTS No 54%
#6 League Two Β· England
Tranmere
1 : 1 FT
Rochdale
Win 51%
Draw 31%
Win 18%
✓ Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 56%
#7 Serie B Β· Italy
Sudtirol
0 : 0 FT
Ascoli
Win 50%
Draw 28%
Win 22%
✓ Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 60%
#8 La Liga Β· Spain
Barcelona
3 : 0 FT
Getafe
βœ“ Win 73%
Draw 17%
Win 10%
✓ Over 2.5 64%
#9 Ligue 2 Β· France
Clermont Foot
2 : 3 FT
RED Star FC 93
Win 27%
Draw 33%
βœ“ Win 39%
Under 2.5 72% BTTS No 64%
#10 Super League 1 Β· Greece
AEK Athens FC
3 : 0 FT
OFI
βœ“ Win 65%
Draw 24%
Win 11%
✓ Over 2.5 56%
#11 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic
Bohemians 1905
1 : 0 FT
Baník Ostrava
βœ“ Win 58%
Draw 26%
Win 16%
#12 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Casa Pia
0 : 1 FT
Santa Clara
Win 17%
Draw 22%
βœ“ Win 61%
#13 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Bodo/Glimt
3 : 1 FT
Kristiansund BK
βœ“ Win 85%
Draw 10%
Win 5%
✓ Over 2.5 80% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#14 Premier League Β· Ukraine
Chornomorets
1 : 2 FT
FC Kharkiv
Win 23%
Draw 36%
βœ“ Win 41%
Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 56%
#15 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic
Hradec Králové
2 : 4 FT
Artis
Win 46%
Draw 31%
Win 22%
Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 55%
#16 Championship Β· England
Blackburn
2 : 1 FT
Cardiff
βœ“ Win 59%
Draw 25%
Win 15%
#17 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Jagiellonia
1 : 3 FT
Gornik Zabrze
Win 20%
Draw 35%
βœ“ Win 45%
Under 2.5 60%
#18 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Maritimo
1 : 2 FT
FC Porto
Win 16%
Draw 21%
βœ“ Win 64%
✓ Over 2.5 56%
#19 Primera División Β· Chile
Cobresal
1 : 1 FT
Universidad de Concepcion
Win 67%
Draw 19%
Win 14%
Over 2.5 59%
#20 Super League 1 Β· Greece
Asteras Tripolis
2 : 1 FT
Atromitos
βœ“ Win 38%
Draw 37%
Win 26%
Under 2.5 67% BTTS No 56%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet β€” common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Saturday 10 October 2026?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Shrewsbury vs Exeter City at 51% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.