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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability — Friday 6 March 2026

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet — making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Friday 6 March 2026. Al-Hilal Saudi FC vs Al Najma led the list at 58% in the Pro League. The shortlist runs from 58% down to 35%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Premier Division supplies three of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, eleven landed the clean sheet market — 55%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
4 : 0 FT
Al Najma
✓ Win 80%
Draw 15%
Win 6%
✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS No 61% ✓ Al-Hilal Saudi FC Clean Sheet 58%
#2 Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
RAAL La Louvière
0 : 0 FT
Antwerp
Win 22%
Draw 33%
Win 45%
✓ Under 2.5 74% ✓ BTTS No 66%
#3 Thai League 1 · Thailand
Port FC
3 : 0 FT
Lamphun Warrior
✓ Win 68%
Draw 22%
Win 10%
✓ Over 2.5 53% ✓ BTTS No 54%
#4 Ligue 1 · France
Paris Saint Germain
1 : 3 FT
Monaco
Win 70%
Draw 19%
Win 11%
✓ Over 2.5 55% BTTS No 54%
#5 Premier Division · Ireland
Shelbourne
2 : 3 FT
St Patrick's Athl.
Win 43%
Draw 34%
Win 23%
Under 2.5 70% BTTS No 62%
#6 Ligue 2 · France
Nancy
0 : 3 FT
Montpellier
Win 29%
Draw 37%
Win 34%
Under 2.5 77% ✓ BTTS No 67%
#7 Premier Division · Ireland
Waterford
0 : 1 FT
Bohemians
Win 22%
Draw 34%
✓ Win 44%
✓ Under 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS No 59%
#8 Premier League · Ukraine
Oleksandria
0 : 1 FT
Shakhtar Donetsk
Win 18%
Draw 24%
✓ Win 57%
✓ Under 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS No 55%
#9 Premier Division · Ireland
Galway United
2 : 2 FT
Dundalk
Win 51%
Draw 30%
Win 19%
Under 2.5 58% BTTS No 54%
#10 Ligue 2 · France
Rodez
1 : 0 FT
Grenoble
✓ Win 43%
Draw 32%
Win 25%
✓ Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 56%
#11 Serie A · Italy
Napoli
2 : 1 FT
Torino
✓ Win 63%
Draw 21%
Win 16%
✓ Over 2.5 56%
#12 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Dordrecht
1 : 1 FT
MVV
Win 61%
Draw 23%
Win 16%
Over 2.5 54%
#13 Primera División · Chile
Concepción
0 : 2 FT
Nublense
Win 31%
Draw 30%
✓ Win 39%
✓ Under 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS No 59%
#14 Championship · England
Preston
1 : 3 FT
Oxford United
Win 38%
Draw 33%
Win 30%
Under 2.5 66% BTTS No 57%
#15 Premier Division · Ireland
Shamrock Rovers
1 : 0 FT
Derry City
✓ Win 43%
Draw 31%
Win 26%
✓ Under 2.5 60%
#16 Ligue 2 · France
Laval
2 : 2 FT
Guingamp
Win 24%
Draw 29%
Win 46%
Under 2.5 56%
#17 Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al Khaleej Saihat
2 : 1 FT
Al-Hazm
✓ Win 54%
Draw 25%
Win 20%
#18 Ligue 2 · France
PAU
2 : 2 FT
Bastia
Win 26%
Draw 30%
Win 44%
Under 2.5 59%
#19 Primera División · Chile
D. La Serena
3 : 0 FT
Union La Calera
✓ Win 37%
Draw 30%
Win 33%
Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 57%
#20 Primeira Liga · Portugal
Famalicao
1 : 0 FT
Arouca
✓ Win 65%
Draw 19%
Win 15%
Over 2.5 65% BTTS Yes 59%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet — common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Friday 6 March 2026?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Al-Hilal Saudi FC vs Al Najma at 58% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.