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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability β€” Wednesday 23 April 2025

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet β€” making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Wednesday 23 April 2025. Hammarby FF vs Malmo FF sits top on 47% in the Allsvenskan. The shortlist runs from 47% down to 32%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

La Liga supplies three of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, eleven landed the clean sheet market — 55%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
Hammarby FF
2 : 0 FT
Malmo FF
βœ“ Win 49%
Draw 29%
Win 22%
✓ Under 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS No 61%
#2 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
Groningen
4 : 1 FT
Heracles
βœ“ Win 44%
Draw 32%
Win 25%
Under 2.5 70% BTTS No 63%
#3 Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai
4 : 0 FT
Khorfakkan
βœ“ Win 56%
Draw 25%
Win 19%
Under 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS No 55%
#4 Serie A Β· Italy
Torino
2 : 0 FT
Udinese
βœ“ Win 40%
Draw 33%
Win 27%
✓ Under 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS No 61%
#5 Veikkausliiga Β· Finland
KuPS
4 : 1 FT
Mariehamn
βœ“ Win 38%
Draw 32%
Win 30%
Under 2.5 71% BTTS No 63%
#6 La Liga Β· Spain
Athletic Club
1 : 0 FT
Las Palmas
βœ“ Win 62%
Draw 21%
Win 17%
Over 2.5 54%
#7 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
Halmstad
1 : 3 FT
Mjallby AIF
Win 19%
Draw 23%
βœ“ Win 59%
#8 La Liga Β· Spain
Getafe
0 : 1 FT
Real Madrid
Win 23%
Draw 26%
βœ“ Win 50%
✓ Under 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS No 53%
#9 La Liga Β· Spain
Alaves
1 : 0 FT
Real Sociedad
Win 30%
Draw 30%
Win 40%
✓ Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 58%
#10 Premier League Β· England
Arsenal
2 : 2 FT
Crystal Palace
Win 61%
Draw 21%
Win 18%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 53%
#11 K League 1 Β· South-Korea
FC Anyang
0 : 1 FT
Ulsan Hyundai FC
Win 31%
Draw 30%
βœ“ Win 39%
✓ Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 58%
#12 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
Anderlecht
5 : 0 FT
Gent
βœ“ Win 46%
Draw 30%
Win 23%
Under 2.5 55%
#13 Super League 1 Β· Greece
Lamia
1 : 3 FT
Volos NFC
Win 38%
Draw 30%
Win 32%
Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 57%
#14 Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates
Al Bataeh
1 : 3 FT
Al-Wasl FC
Win 20%
Draw 22%
βœ“ Win 59%
✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#15 Serie A Β· Italy
Genoa
0 : 2 FT
Lazio
Win 39%
Draw 31%
Win 31%
✓ Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 53%
#16 Bundesliga Β· Austria
Austria Vienna
2 : 1 FT
Sturm Graz
βœ“ Win 50%
Draw 29%
Win 21%
✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#17 Super League 1 Β· Greece
Kallithea
0 : 3 FT
Levadiakos
Win 31%
Draw 27%
βœ“ Win 42%
Under 2.5 57%
#18 Super League 1 Β· Greece
Panserraikos
1 : 1 FT
Panetolikos
Win 38%
Draw 29%
Win 34%
✓ Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 54%
#19 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al Kholood
0 : 1 FT
Al Okhdood
Win 33%
Draw 29%
βœ“ Win 38%
✓ Under 2.5 59%
#20 Veikkausliiga Β· Finland
SJK
3 : 1 FT
AC Oulu
βœ“ Win 50%
Draw 24%
Win 26%
✓ BTTS Yes 55%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet β€” common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Wednesday 23 April 2025?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Hammarby FF vs Malmo FF at 47% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.