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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability — Thursday 24 April 2025

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet — making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

17 fixtures cleared the bar on Thursday 24 April 2025. The strongest reading belongs to IFK Varnamo vs AIK Stockholm at 47% in the Allsvenskan. The shortlist runs from 47% down to 15%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Allsvenskan supplies three of the top 10, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Of the 17 fixtures on this list that have since finished, six landed the clean sheet market — 35%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Allsvenskan · Sweden
IFK Varnamo
1 : 2 FT
AIK Stockholm
Win 22%
Draw 29%
✓ Win 49%
Under 2.5 67% BTTS No 62%
#2 Eredivisie · Netherlands
AZ Alkmaar
1 : 1 FT
NAC Breda
Win 61%
Draw 23%
Win 16%
#3 Challenger Pro League · Belgium
Lokeren-Temse
2 : 0 FT
RWDM
Win 28%
Draw 29%
Win 43%
✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 57%
#4 Allsvenskan · Sweden
Djurgardens IF
1 : 0 FT
Osters IF
✓ Win 49%
Draw 27%
Win 25%
✓ Under 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS No 54%
#5 Allsvenskan · Sweden
Gais
1 : 1 FT
IF Brommapojkarna
Win 43%
Draw 29%
Win 28%
✓ Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 56%
#6 La Liga · Spain
Real Betis
5 : 1 FT
Valladolid
✓ Win 75%
Draw 14%
Win 11%
✓ Over 2.5 73% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
#7 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Roda
1 : 1 FT
ADO Den Haag
Win 26%
Draw 28%
Win 46%
✓ Under 2.5 54%
#8 Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al Orubah
2 : 2 FT
Al-Fayha
Win 27%
Draw 27%
Win 46%
Under 2.5 53%
#9 La Liga · Spain
Atletico Madrid
3 : 0 FT
Rayo Vallecano
✓ Win 45%
Draw 26%
Win 29%
#10 League One · England
Stevenage
0 : 1 FT
Birmingham
Win 30%
Draw 27%
✓ Win 43%
#11 La Liga · Spain
Leganes
1 : 1 FT
Girona
Win 41%
Draw 27%
Win 33%
✓ Under 2.5 54%
#12 Challenger Pro League · Belgium
Patro Eisden
3 : 2 FT
SK Beveren
Win 34%
Draw 26%
Win 40%
#13 Allsvenskan · Sweden
IFK Norrkoping
2 : 3 FT
IFK Goteborg
Win 55%
Draw 22%
Win 23%
✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
#14 La Liga · Spain
Osasuna
1 : 0 FT
Sevilla
✓ Win 40%
Draw 25%
Win 35%
Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 59%
#15 Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al Taawon
4 : 3 FT
Al-Raed
Win 36%
Draw 25%
Win 38%
✓ Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
#16 Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Club Brugge KV
0 : 1 FT
Union St. Gilloise
Win 37%
Draw 27%
Win 36%
Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 65%
#17 Eredivisie · Netherlands
Twente
1 : 3 FT
PSV Eindhoven
Win 34%
Draw 21%
✓ Win 44%
✓ Over 2.5 77% ✓ BTTS Yes 75%

Showing top 17 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet — common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Thursday 24 April 2025?

17 fixtures met the criteria, led by IFK Varnamo vs AIK Stockholm at 47% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.