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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability β€” Tuesday 11 March 2025

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet β€” making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

20 fixtures cleared the bar on Tuesday 11 March 2025. The strongest reading belongs to Birmingham vs Stevenage at 64% in the League One. The shortlist runs from 64% down to 34%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Championship supplies four of the top 10, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, eight landed the clean sheet market — 40%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 League One Β· England
Birmingham
2 : 1 FT
Stevenage
βœ“ Win 55%
Draw 32%
Win 13%
Under 2.5 77% BTTS No 74% Birmingham Clean Sheet 64%
#2 Championship Β· England
Burnley
1 : 1 FT
West Brom
Win 57%
Draw 29%
Win 14%
✓ Under 2.5 72% BTTS No 70% Burnley Clean Sheet 59%
#3 League Two Β· England
AFC Wimbledon
1 : 2 FT
Cheltenham
Win 62%
Draw 24%
Win 13%
Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 64% AFC Wimbledon Clean Sheet 55%
#4 Championship Β· England
Cardiff
1 : 2 FT
Luton
Win 66%
Draw 21%
Win 13%
BTTS No 54%
#5 Premier League Β· Ukraine
Oleksandria
4 : 0 FT
Obolon'-Brovar
βœ“ Win 56%
Draw 26%
Win 19%
Under 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS No 58%
#6 Premier League Β· Ukraine
Dynamo Kyiv
2 : 2 FT
Zorya Luhansk
Win 59%
Draw 24%
Win 18%
Under 2.5 53% BTTS No 54%
#7 Championship Β· England
Middlesbrough
2 : 1 FT
QPR
βœ“ Win 44%
Draw 30%
Win 26%
Under 2.5 67% BTTS No 60%
#8 League Two Β· England
Colchester
2 : 1 FT
Port Vale
βœ“ Win 45%
Draw 29%
Win 26%
Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 58%
#9 Championship Β· England
Sunderland
1 : 1 FT
Preston
Win 47%
Draw 28%
Win 24%
✓ Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 56%
#10 Premier League Β· Ukraine
Karpaty
0 : 0 FT
Shakhtar Donetsk
Win 43%
Draw 29%
Win 28%
✓ Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 58%
#11 League Two Β· England
Salford City
0 : 4 FT
Chesterfield
Win 50%
Draw 26%
Win 24%
Under 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS No 53%
#12 League One Β· England
Reading
2 : 0 FT
Wrexham
βœ“ Win 39%
Draw 31%
Win 30%
✓ Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 58%
#13 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Roda
3 : 2 FT
Helmond Sport
βœ“ Win 55%
Draw 24%
Win 20%
#14 Championship Β· England
Derby
2 : 0 FT
Coventry
Win 27%
Draw 29%
Win 44%
✓ Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 55%
#15 League One Β· England
Blackpool
2 : 1 FT
Cambridge United
βœ“ Win 50%
Draw 27%
Win 23%
Under 2.5 53%
#16 League One Β· England
Crawley Town
0 : 1 FT
Charlton
Win 25%
Draw 27%
βœ“ Win 48%
✓ Under 2.5 53%
#17 Premier League Β· Ukraine
Veres Rivne
5 : 1 FT
Polessya
βœ“ Win 40%
Draw 29%
Win 31%
Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 55%
#18 Championship Β· England
Sheffield Utd
1 : 1 FT
Bristol City
Win 41%
Draw 29%
Win 30%
✓ Under 2.5 59%
#19 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
ADO Den Haag
0 : 3 FT
Jong AZ
Win 58%
Draw 22%
Win 20%
✓ Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 57%
#20 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
FC Volendam
3 : 0 FT
Telstar
βœ“ Win 59%
Draw 22%
Win 20%
✓ Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 58%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet β€” common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Tuesday 11 March 2025?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Birmingham vs Stevenage at 64% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.