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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability β€” Thursday 16 January 2025

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet β€” making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

The model shortlists eight fixtures on Thursday 16 January 2025. Muangthong United vs Rayong FC sits top on 44% in the Thai League 1. The shortlist runs from 44% down to 23%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Pro League supplies three of the top 8, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the eight fixtures on this list that have since finished, four landed the clean sheet market — 50%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand
Muangthong United
4 : 0 FT
Rayong FC
βœ“ Win 67%
Draw 21%
Win 12%
✓ Over 2.5 57%
#2 Premier League Β· England
Manchester United
3 : 1 FT
Southampton
βœ“ Win 49%
Draw 31%
Win 19%
Under 2.5 59% BTTS No 53%
#3 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
9 : 0 FT
Al-Fateh
βœ“ Win 69%
Draw 17%
Win 14%
✓ Over 2.5 67% BTTS Yes 58%
#4 League One Β· England
Shrewsbury
2 : 1 FT
Wrexham
Win 33%
Draw 30%
Win 37%
Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 57%
#5 Premier League Β· England
Ipswich
0 : 2 FT
Brighton
Win 22%
Draw 28%
βœ“ Win 50%
BTTS Yes 56%
#6 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al Okhdood
1 : 2 FT
Al-Fayha
Win 43%
Draw 27%
Win 30%
Under 2.5 55%
#7 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al-Ittihad FC
4 : 1 FT
Al-Raed
βœ“ Win 59%
Draw 21%
Win 20%
✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
#8 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand
Uthai Thani
0 : 2 FT
Bangkok United
Win 37%
Draw 27%
Win 36%
Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 62%

Showing top 8 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet β€” common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Thursday 16 January 2025?

eight fixtures met the criteria, led by Muangthong United vs Rayong FC at 44% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.