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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability — Sunday 22 September 2024

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet — making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Sunday 22 September 2024. Getafe vs Leganes led the list at 53% in the La Liga. The shortlist runs from 53% down to 40%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

The shortlist spans eight different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, seven landed the clean sheet market — 35%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 La Liga · Spain
Getafe
1 : 1 FT
Leganes
Win 45%
Draw 35%
Win 20%
✓ Under 2.5 75% BTTS No 68%
#2 K League 1 · South-Korea
Gwangju FC
0 : 2 FT
Jeju United FC
Win 58%
Draw 25%
Win 17%
✓ Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 59%
#3 Serie A · Brazil
Sao Paulo
1 : 3 FT
Internacional
Win 42%
Draw 32%
Win 25%
Under 2.5 74% BTTS No 66%
#4 Ekstraklasa · Poland
Raków Częstochowa
5 : 1 FT
Zaglebie Lubin
✓ Win 45%
Draw 31%
Win 24%
Under 2.5 71% BTTS No 65%
#5 Premier League · Russia
FC Rostov
0 : 0 FT
Dinamo Makhachkala
Win 58%
Draw 27%
Win 16%
✓ Under 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS No 57%
#6 2. Bundesliga · Germany
SV Elversberg
1 : 3 FT
SSV Ulm 1846
Win 56%
Draw 29%
Win 14%
Under 2.5 57% BTTS No 55%
#7 Czech Liga · Czech-Republic
Sigma Olomouc
2 : 1 FT
Dukla Praha
✓ Win 58%
Draw 25%
Win 17%
Under 2.5 57% BTTS No 57%
#8 Czech Liga · Czech-Republic
Slovan Liberec
2 : 2 FT
Bohemians 1905
Win 48%
Draw 29%
Win 23%
Under 2.5 67% BTTS No 62%
#9 Serie A · Brazil
Fortaleza EC
4 : 1 FT
Bahia
✓ Win 56%
Draw 26%
Win 19%
Under 2.5 59% BTTS No 57%
#10 Eredivisie · Netherlands
Feyenoord
2 : 0 FT
NAC Breda
✓ Win 80%
Draw 15%
Win 5%
Over 2.5 73% BTTS Yes 53%
#11 Ekstraklasa · Poland
Lech Poznan
1 : 0 FT
Slask Wroclaw
✓ Win 70%
Draw 18%
Win 12%
Over 2.5 58%
#12 Czech Liga · Czech-Republic
České Budějovice
0 : 2 FT
Sparta Praha
Win 14%
Draw 20%
✓ Win 66%
Over 2.5 53%
#13 Premier League · Russia
Spartak Moscow
2 : 2 FT
Dynamo
Win 48%
Draw 30%
Win 21%
Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 57%
#14 Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Club Brugge KV
2 : 4 FT
Gent
Win 54%
Draw 28%
Win 19%
Under 2.5 57% BTTS No 54%
#15 Serie B · Italy
Spezia
4 : 2 FT
Carrarese
✓ Win 58%
Draw 26%
Win 16%
#16 Thai League 1 · Thailand
Buriram United
6 : 0 FT
Prachuap
✓ Win 70%
Draw 21%
Win 9%
✓ Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 56%
#17 Primeira Liga · Portugal
Sporting CP
3 : 0 FT
AVS
✓ Win 79%
Draw 13%
Win 8%
✓ Over 2.5 73% BTTS Yes 55%
#18 Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
OH Leuven
1 : 1 FT
Kortrijk
Win 59%
Draw 24%
Win 17%
#19 Premier League · Ukraine
Veres Rivne
2 : 2 FT
Inhulets
Win 45%
Draw 28%
Win 26%
Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 56%
#20 Serie A · Italy
Inter
1 : 2 FT
AC Milan
Win 64%
Draw 24%
Win 12%
✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet — common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Sunday 22 September 2024?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Getafe vs Leganes at 53% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.