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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability — Sunday 28 July 2024

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet — making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

20 matches cleared our threshold on Sunday 28 July 2024. The strongest reading belongs to Botafogo vs Cruzeiro at 57% in the Serie A. The shortlist runs from 57% down to 34%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Serie A supplies seven of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 13 landed the clean sheet market — 65%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Serie A · Brazil
Botafogo
0 : 3 FT
Cruzeiro
Win 63%
Draw 26%
Win 12%
Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 65% Botafogo Clean Sheet 57%
#2 Serie A · Brazil
RB Bragantino
0 : 1 FT
Fluminense
Win 53%
Draw 29%
Win 18%
✓ Under 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS No 63%
#3 Veikkausliiga · Finland
EIF
1 : 2 FT
KuPS
Win 13%
Draw 23%
✓ Win 64%
#4 K League 1 · South-Korea
Pohang Steelers
1 : 2 FT
Gimcheon Sangmu FC
Win 48%
Draw 29%
Win 23%
Under 2.5 66% BTTS No 61%
#5 Serie A · Brazil
Bahia
1 : 1 FT
Internacional
Win 41%
Draw 32%
Win 26%
✓ Under 2.5 70% BTTS No 62%
#6 Serie A · Brazil
Gremio
1 : 0 FT
Vasco DA Gama
✓ Win 48%
Draw 29%
Win 24%
✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 58%
#7 Serie A · Brazil
Fortaleza EC
1 : 0 FT
Sao Paulo
✓ Win 56%
Draw 26%
Win 19%
✓ Under 2.5 54%
#8 Serie A · Brazil
Cuiaba
1 : 2 FT
Atletico Paranaense
Win 32%
Draw 34%
✓ Win 34%
Under 2.5 73% BTTS No 65%
#9 Serie A · Brazil
Atletico-MG
2 : 1 FT
Corinthians
✓ Win 51%
Draw 27%
Win 22%
Under 2.5 58% BTTS No 54%
#10 Superettan · Sweden
IK brage
2 : 0 FT
Orebro SK
✓ Win 54%
Draw 25%
Win 21%
✓ Under 2.5 53%
#11 Canadian Premier League · Canada
Pacific FC
0 : 3 FT
Valour
Win 49%
Draw 29%
Win 22%
Under 2.5 57%
#12 Premier League · Russia
FC Krasnodar
0 : 0 FT
Dinamo Makhachkala
Win 47%
Draw 31%
Win 22%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
#13 Czech Liga · Czech-Republic
Plzen
1 : 0 FT
Hradec Králové
✓ Win 50%
Draw 26%
Win 24%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
#14 Serie A · Brazil
Flamengo
2 : 0 FT
Atletico Goianiense
✓ Win 54%
Draw 25%
Win 21%
#15 Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Genk
0 : 0 FT
Standard Liege
Win 49%
Draw 29%
Win 22%
✓ Under 2.5 54%
#16 Premier League · Russia
Khimki
1 : 3 FT
Spartak Moscow
Win 27%
Draw 33%
✓ Win 40%
Under 2.5 61%
#17 Super League · Switzerland
Servette FC
3 : 2 FT
Yverdon Sport
✓ Win 64%
Draw 20%
Win 16%
✓ Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#18 Premier League · Russia
FC Orenburg
0 : 0 FT
Akhmat
Win 43%
Draw 32%
Win 25%
✓ Under 2.5 57%
#19 Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
KVC Westerlo
3 : 0 FT
Cercle Brugge
✓ Win 40%
Draw 29%
Win 31%
Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 53%
#20 Ekstraklasa · Poland
Piast Gliwice
2 : 0 FT
Slask Wroclaw
✓ Win 42%
Draw 32%
Win 26%
✓ Under 2.5 55%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet — common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Sunday 28 July 2024?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Botafogo vs Cruzeiro at 57% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.