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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability β€” Friday 3 May 2024

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet β€” making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

20 fixtures cleared the bar on Friday 3 May 2024. St Patrick's Athl. vs Drogheda United sits top on 54% in the Premier Division. The shortlist runs from 54% down to 34%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Premier Division supplies five of the top 10, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, twelve landed the clean sheet market — 60%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Premier Division Β· Ireland
St Patrick's Athl.
1 : 0 FT
Drogheda United
βœ“ Win 61%
Draw 26%
Win 13%
✓ Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 62% ✓ St Patrick's Athl. Clean Sheet 54%
#2 Ligue 2 Β· France
Bordeaux
4 : 0 FT
Ajaccio
βœ“ Win 64%
Draw 23%
Win 13%
Under 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS No 61%
#3 Premier Division Β· Ireland
Galway United
0 : 0 FT
Derry City
Win 21%
Draw 34%
Win 45%
✓ Under 2.5 73% ✓ BTTS No 65%
#4 Premier Division Β· Ireland
Sligo Rovers
0 : 1 FT
Waterford
Win 39%
Draw 36%
Win 26%
✓ Under 2.5 75% ✓ BTTS No 66%
#5 Ligue 2 Β· France
Caen
1 : 0 FT
Laval
βœ“ Win 48%
Draw 30%
Win 22%
✓ Under 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS No 62%
#6 Serie A Β· Italy
Torino
0 : 0 FT
Bologna
Win 31%
βœ“ Draw 38%
Win 32%
✓ Under 2.5 80% ✓ BTTS No 70%
#7 Ligue 2 Β· France
Grenoble
2 : 1 FT
Concarneau
βœ“ Win 42%
Draw 33%
Win 25%
Under 2.5 72% BTTS No 65%
#8 Premier Division Β· Ireland
Dundalk
0 : 0 FT
Shelbourne
Win 25%
Draw 34%
Win 42%
✓ Under 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS No 62%
#9 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
De Graafschap
2 : 2 FT
Jong Utrecht
Win 78%
Draw 15%
Win 7%
✓ Over 2.5 70%
#10 Premier Division Β· Ireland
Bohemians
1 : 1 FT
Shamrock Rovers
Win 29%
Draw 34%
Win 37%
✓ Under 2.5 69% BTTS No 60%
#11 Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Beşiktaş
3 : 2 FT
Rizespor
βœ“ Win 60%
Draw 24%
Win 15%
✓ Over 2.5 54%
#12 Veikkausliiga Β· Finland
VPS
3 : 0 FT
Lahti
βœ“ Win 55%
Draw 27%
Win 18%
#13 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
Fortuna Düsseldorf
3 : 1 FT
1. FC Nürnberg
βœ“ Win 55%
Draw 25%
Win 20%
#14 La Liga Β· Spain
Getafe
0 : 2 FT
Athletic Club
Win 41%
Draw 31%
Win 28%
✓ Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 56%
#15 Primera División Β· Chile
Palestino
3 : 1 FT
Deportes Copiapo
βœ“ Win 68%
Draw 18%
Win 14%
✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#16 Ligue 2 Β· France
Bastia
1 : 2 FT
Amiens
Win 33%
Draw 31%
βœ“ Win 36%
Under 2.5 67% BTTS No 59%
#17 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand
Uthai Thani
3 : 1 FT
Trat FC
βœ“ Win 51%
Draw 26%
Win 23%
#18 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Roda
2 : 0 FT
Cambuur
βœ“ Win 62%
Draw 22%
Win 16%
Over 2.5 62% BTTS Yes 59%
#19 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Moreirense
1 : 0 FT
Vizela
βœ“ Win 45%
Draw 27%
Win 28%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
#20 Ligue 1 Β· France
Lens
2 : 0 FT
Lorient
βœ“ Win 53%
Draw 24%
Win 23%
Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 55%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet β€” common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Friday 3 May 2024?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by St Patrick's Athl. vs Drogheda United at 54% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.