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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability — Sunday 28 April 2024

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet — making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

20 matches cleared our threshold on Sunday 28 April 2024. The strongest reading belongs to Bologna vs Udinese at 57% in the Serie A. The shortlist runs from 57% down to 39%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

The shortlist spans eight different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, nine landed the clean sheet market — 45%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Serie A · Italy
Bologna
1 : 1 FT
Udinese
Win 62%
Draw 26%
Win 12%
✓ Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 65% Bologna Clean Sheet 57%
#2 Superettan · Sweden
Helsingborg
0 : 0 FT
Ostersunds FK
Win 51%
Draw 29%
Win 20%
✓ Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 60%
#3 La Liga · Spain
Cadiz
1 : 1 FT
Mallorca
Win 40%
Draw 34%
Win 26%
✓ Under 2.5 74% BTTS No 66%
#4 K League 1 · South-Korea
Ulsan Hyundai FC
3 : 1 FT
Jeju United FC
✓ Win 62%
Draw 25%
Win 13%
#5 Bundesliga · Germany
FSV Mainz 05
1 : 1 FT
1. FC Köln
Win 55%
Draw 28%
Win 17%
✓ Under 2.5 56% BTTS No 53%
#6 Thai League 1 · Thailand
Lamphun Warrior
2 : 3 FT
Khon Kaen United
Win 67%
Draw 19%
Win 13%
✓ Over 2.5 57%
#7 Premier League · Ukraine
Zorya Luhansk
0 : 0 FT
Obolon'-Brovar
Win 50%
Draw 29%
Win 21%
✓ Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 56%
#8 Ekstraklasa · Poland
Lech Poznan
0 : 0 FT
Cracovia Krakow
Win 46%
Draw 32%
Win 22%
✓ Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 57%
#9 Serie A · Italy
Inter
2 : 0 FT
Torino
✓ Win 60%
Draw 23%
Win 17%
#10 La Liga · Spain
Villarreal
3 : 0 FT
Rayo Vallecano
✓ Win 46%
Draw 29%
Win 25%
Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 56%
#11 Super League 1 · Greece
Panathinaikos
0 : 1 FT
Aris Thessalonikis
Win 49%
Draw 31%
Win 21%
✓ Under 2.5 57%
#12 Serie A · Brazil
Juventude
1 : 1 FT
Atletico Paranaense
Win 48%
Draw 27%
Win 24%
✓ Under 2.5 59% BTTS No 54%
#13 Serie A · Italy
Atalanta
2 : 0 FT
Empoli
✓ Win 59%
Draw 23%
Win 17%
Over 2.5 53%
#14 Bundesliga · Austria
Lask Linz
5 : 0 FT
Rapid Vienna
Win 28%
Draw 33%
Win 39%
Under 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS No 58%
#15 Ekstraklasa · Poland
Stal Mielec
1 : 3 FT
Legia Warszawa
Win 36%
Draw 34%
Win 30%
Under 2.5 68% BTTS No 59%
#16 Süper Lig · Turkey
Rizespor
2 : 2 FT
Ankaragücü
Win 55%
Draw 27%
Win 18%
#17 Primera División · Chile
Everton de Vina
1 : 2 FT
Coquimbo Unido
Win 46%
Draw 28%
Win 26%
Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 55%
#18 Bundesliga · Austria
Red Bull Salzburg
2 : 2 FT
Sturm Graz
Win 49%
Draw 29%
Win 22%
Under 2.5 56%
#19 Eliteserien · Norway
Stromsgodset
2 : 2 FT
Kristiansund BK
Win 50%
Draw 26%
Win 24%
Under 2.5 57% BTTS No 53%
#20 Bundesliga · Germany
Borussia Mönchengladbach
0 : 0 FT
Union Berlin
Win 48%
Draw 30%
Win 22%
✓ Under 2.5 57%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet — common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Sunday 28 April 2024?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Bologna vs Udinese at 57% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.