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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability — Tuesday 9 April 2024

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet — making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Tuesday 9 April 2024. Leeds vs Sunderland sits top on 46% in the Championship. The shortlist runs from 46% down to 27%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Championship supplies three of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, eight landed the clean sheet market — 40%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Championship · England
Leeds
0 : 0 FT
Sunderland
Win 61%
Draw 23%
Win 16%
✓ Under 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS No 56%
#2 League One · England
Blackpool
1 : 0 FT
Fleetwood Town
✓ Win 60%
Draw 23%
Win 16%
✓ BTTS No 54%
#3 Superettan · Sweden
Helsingborg
1 : 1 FT
IK brage
Win 49%
Draw 27%
Win 24%
✓ Under 2.5 59% BTTS No 55%
#4 Championship · England
Plymouth
1 : 1 FT
QPR
Win 26%
Draw 28%
Win 46%
✓ Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 57%
#5 League One · England
Stevenage
2 : 1 FT
Barnsley
Win 27%
Draw 29%
Win 44%
Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 56%
#6 Championship · England
Millwall
1 : 0 FT
Leicester
Win 23%
Draw 25%
Win 52%
✓ Under 2.5 53%
#7 League Two · England
Morecambe
0 : 1 FT
Crewe
Win 25%
Draw 27%
✓ Win 47%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
#8 Super League · China
Nantong Zhiyun
0 : 3 FT
SHANGHAI SIPG
Win 27%
Draw 27%
✓ Win 46%
Under 2.5 57%
#9 Premier League · Ukraine
Dnipro-1
2 : 2 FT
Zorya Luhansk
Win 38%
Draw 29%
Win 33%
Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 53%
#10 League One · England
Charlton
2 : 2 FT
Wigan
Win 55%
Draw 23%
Win 22%
✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#11 Championship · England
Preston
4 : 1 FT
Huddersfield
✓ Win 49%
Draw 24%
Win 26%
✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#12 League Two · England
Harrogate Town
1 : 0 FT
Grimsby
✓ Win 47%
Draw 25%
Win 28%
Over 2.5 53% BTTS Yes 56%
#13 League Two · England
Wrexham
4 : 1 FT
Crawley Town
✓ Win 38%
Draw 28%
Win 34%
Under 2.5 55%
#14 Super League · China
Beijing Guoan
1 : 2 FT
Sichuan Jiuniu
Win 40%
Draw 27%
Win 33%
#15 League One · England
Cheltenham
0 : 1 FT
Carlisle
Win 48%
Draw 24%
Win 28%
Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 57%
#16 League Two · England
Doncaster
2 : 1 FT
Walsall
✓ Win 48%
Draw 25%
Win 28%
✓ Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
#17 Super League · China
Shandong Luneng
2 : 2 FT
Henan Jianye
Win 50%
Draw 23%
Win 27%
✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
#18 League Two · England
Colchester
1 : 2 FT
Stockport County
Win 24%
Draw 22%
✓ Win 54%
✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
#19 League One · England
Leyton Orient
2 : 2 FT
Exeter City
Win 35%
Draw 26%
Win 38%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#20 League Two · England
Mansfield Town
1 : 0 FT
Forest Green
✓ Win 54%
Draw 22%
Win 24%
Over 2.5 65% BTTS Yes 63%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet — common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Tuesday 9 April 2024?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Leeds vs Sunderland at 46% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.