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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability β€” Monday 1 April 2024

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet β€” making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

20 fixtures cleared the bar on Monday 1 April 2024. The strongest reading belongs to Bologna vs Salernitana at 53% in the Serie A. The shortlist runs from 53% down to 38%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Championship supplies three of the top 10, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, nine landed the clean sheet market — 45%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Serie A Β· Italy
Bologna
3 : 0 FT
Salernitana
βœ“ Win 74%
Draw 17%
Win 9%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS No 57%
#2 League Two Β· England
Stockport County
1 : 0 FT
AFC Wimbledon
βœ“ Win 56%
Draw 28%
Win 16%
✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 61%
#3 Championship Β· England
Middlesbrough
2 : 0 FT
Sheffield Wednesday
βœ“ Win 59%
Draw 25%
Win 16%
✓ Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 61%
#4 Serie A Β· Italy
Inter
2 : 0 FT
Empoli
βœ“ Win 65%
Draw 22%
Win 13%
✓ BTTS No 53%
#5 League One Β· England
Northampton
2 : 0 FT
Port Vale
βœ“ Win 51%
Draw 28%
Win 21%
✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 59%
#6 Championship Β· England
Rotherham
2 : 1 FT
Millwall
Win 28%
Draw 33%
Win 39%
Under 2.5 73% BTTS No 66%
#7 League One Β· England
Carlisle
1 : 3 FT
Lincoln
Win 13%
Draw 19%
βœ“ Win 68%
✓ Over 2.5 58%
#8 Championship Β· England
West Brom
2 : 2 FT
Watford
Win 50%
Draw 27%
Win 23%
Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 57%
#9 League One Β· England
Burton Albion
1 : 3 FT
Barnsley
Win 19%
Draw 24%
βœ“ Win 58%
#10 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Gornik Zabrze
1 : 3 FT
Legia Warszawa
Win 49%
Draw 32%
Win 19%
Under 2.5 59%
#11 Premier Division Β· Ireland
Galway United
0 : 2 FT
Bohemians
Win 30%
Draw 33%
βœ“ Win 37%
✓ Under 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS No 63%
#12 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Stal Mielec
0 : 0 FT
Lech Poznan
Win 45%
Draw 33%
Win 22%
✓ Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 54%
#13 Premier Division Β· Ireland
Waterford
1 : 2 FT
Shamrock Rovers
Win 31%
Draw 32%
βœ“ Win 36%
Under 2.5 71% BTTS No 63%
#14 Championship Β· England
Leeds
3 : 1 FT
Hull City
βœ“ Win 56%
Draw 24%
Win 20%
#15 Serie B Β· Italy
Modena
1 : 1 FT
Bari
Win 46%
Draw 30%
Win 25%
✓ Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 54%
#16 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Widzew Łódź
3 : 1 FT
Korona Kielce
βœ“ Win 43%
Draw 33%
Win 23%
Under 2.5 59%
#17 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Portimonense
3 : 5 FT
SC Braga
Win 22%
Draw 25%
βœ“ Win 53%
#18 Championship Β· England
Swansea
0 : 1 FT
QPR
Win 31%
Draw 30%
βœ“ Win 38%
✓ Under 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS No 59%
#19 Premier League Β· Ukraine
Ruh Lviv
1 : 0 FT
LNZ Cherkasy
βœ“ Win 35%
Draw 31%
Win 34%
✓ Under 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS No 61%
#20 Championship Β· England
Coventry
1 : 2 FT
Cardiff
Win 55%
Draw 24%
Win 21%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet β€” common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Monday 1 April 2024?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Bologna vs Salernitana at 53% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.