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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability — Saturday 16 March 2024

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet — making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Saturday 16 March 2024. FC Porto vs Vizela led the list at 59% in the Primeira Liga. The shortlist runs from 59% down to 43%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Ligue 2 supplies three of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 13 landed the clean sheet market — 65%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Primeira Liga · Portugal
FC Porto
4 : 1 FT
Vizela
✓ Win 79%
Draw 15%
Win 6%
✓ Over 2.5 56% BTTS No 62% FC Porto Clean Sheet 59%
#2 Ligue 2 · France
Quevilly
1 : 1 FT
Estac Troyes
Win 45%
Draw 34%
Win 21%
✓ Under 2.5 76% BTTS No 69% Quevilly Clean Sheet 53%
#3 Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Standard Liege
4 : 0 FT
AS Eupen
✓ Win 58%
Draw 26%
Win 16%
Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 63%
#4 Ligue 2 · France
Paris FC
2 : 0 FT
Ajaccio
✓ Win 58%
Draw 26%
Win 15%
✓ Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 60%
#5 Premier League · Ukraine
Obolon'-Brovar
1 : 0 FT
Polessya
Win 22%
Draw 33%
Win 45%
✓ Under 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS No 65%
#6 Premier Division · Ireland
Sligo Rovers
3 : 1 FT
Drogheda United
Win 35%
Draw 37%
Win 28%
Under 2.5 79% BTTS No 70%
#7 League One · England
Lincoln
5 : 0 FT
Bristol Rovers
✓ Win 57%
Draw 26%
Win 18%
Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 59%
#8 Ligue 2 · France
Bastia
0 : 4 FT
Saint Etienne
Win 28%
Draw 36%
Win 36%
Under 2.5 78% ✓ BTTS No 69%
#9 La Liga · Spain
Athletic Club
2 : 0 FT
Alaves
✓ Win 60%
Draw 26%
Win 14%
✓ Under 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS No 55%
#10 Ligue 1 · France
Lens
1 : 3 FT
Nice
Win 55%
Draw 27%
Win 18%
Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 59%
#11 Serie B · Italy
Sudtirol
3 : 0 FT
Cremonese
Win 25%
Draw 34%
Win 41%
Under 2.5 73% ✓ BTTS No 64%
#12 Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Anderlecht
0 : 1 FT
Kortrijk
Win 71%
Draw 18%
Win 11%
Over 2.5 58%
#13 La Liga · Spain
Mallorca
1 : 0 FT
Granada CF
✓ Win 60%
Draw 26%
Win 14%
#14 League One · England
Wigan
1 : 0 FT
Blackpool
✓ Win 43%
Draw 31%
Win 26%
✓ Under 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS No 62%
#15 League Two · England
Wrexham
0 : 1 FT
Tranmere
Win 63%
Draw 22%
Win 15%
#16 Primeira Liga · Portugal
Famalicao
0 : 0 FT
Estrela
Win 55%
Draw 26%
Win 19%
✓ Under 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS No 55%
#17 Challenger Pro League · Belgium
Dender
4 : 1 FT
Standard Liège II
✓ Win 60%
Draw 23%
Win 17%
BTTS No 53%
#18 Super League · Switzerland
Grasshoppers
1 : 1 FT
FC ST. Gallen
Win 51%
Draw 27%
Win 22%
✓ Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 58%
#19 Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
2 : 1 FT
Damac
✓ Win 68%
Draw 20%
Win 13%
✓ Over 2.5 58%
#20 Serie B · Italy
Ternana
1 : 0 FT
Cosenza
Win 29%
Draw 35%
Win 36%
✓ Under 2.5 73% ✓ BTTS No 63%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet — common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Saturday 16 March 2024?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by FC Porto vs Vizela at 59% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.