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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability β€” Monday 5 February 2024

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet β€” making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

Seven matches cleared our threshold on Monday 5 February 2024. Bastia vs Ajaccio led the list at 53% in the Ligue 2. The shortlist runs from 53% down to 22%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

The shortlist spans six different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the seven fixtures on this list that have since finished, five landed the clean sheet market — 71%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Ligue 2 Β· France
Bastia
1 : 0 FT
Ajaccio
βœ“ Win 59%
Draw 25%
Win 15%
✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 63% ✓ Bastia Clean Sheet 53%
#2 Serie A Β· Italy
AS Roma
4 : 0 FT
Cagliari
βœ“ Win 71%
Draw 20%
Win 9%
✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS No 56%
#3 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Casa Pia
0 : 0 FT
Boavista
Win 26%
Draw 25%
Win 49%
#4 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Jong AZ
1 : 0 FT
Roda
βœ“ Win 43%
Draw 30%
Win 27%
BTTS Yes 55%
#5 La Liga Β· Spain
Rayo Vallecano
1 : 2 FT
Sevilla
Win 33%
Draw 32%
βœ“ Win 35%
Under 2.5 56%
#6 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Jong Utrecht
0 : 1 FT
Jong Ajax
Win 43%
Draw 29%
Win 29%
BTTS Yes 58%
#7 Premier League Β· England
Brentford
1 : 3 FT
Manchester City
Win 26%
Draw 21%
βœ“ Win 53%
✓ Over 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS Yes 71%

Showing top 7 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet β€” common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Monday 5 February 2024?

seven fixtures met the criteria, led by Bastia vs Ajaccio at 53% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.