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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability β€” Wednesday 6 December 2023

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet β€” making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

19 fixtures cleared the bar on Wednesday 6 December 2023. The strongest reading belongs to Marseille vs Lyon at 49% in the Ligue 1. The shortlist runs from 49% down to 18%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Super League supplies three of the top 10, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Of the 19 fixtures on this list that have since finished, ten landed the clean sheet market — 53%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Ligue 1 Β· France
Marseille
3 : 0 FT
Lyon
βœ“ Win 54%
Draw 30%
Win 16%
Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 58%
#2 Super League Β· Switzerland
BSC Young Boys
1 : 0 FT
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
βœ“ Win 78%
Draw 14%
Win 7%
Over 2.5 72% BTTS Yes 55%
#3 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
AZ Alkmaar
1 : 2 FT
NEC Nijmegen
Win 68%
Draw 21%
Win 12%
✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#4 Super League Β· Switzerland
FC Lugano
1 : 3 FT
FC Basel 1893
Win 59%
Draw 24%
Win 17%
✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 53%
#5 K League 1 Β· South-Korea
Gimpo Citizen
0 : 0 FT
Gangwon FC
Win 30%
Draw 31%
Win 38%
✓ Under 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS No 58%
#6 Super League Β· Switzerland
FC ST. Gallen
4 : 0 FT
Yverdon Sport
βœ“ Win 73%
Draw 17%
Win 10%
✓ Over 2.5 71% BTTS Yes 59%
#7 Premier League Β· England
Sheffield Utd
0 : 2 FT
Liverpool
Win 15%
Draw 18%
βœ“ Win 67%
Over 2.5 65% BTTS Yes 58%
#8 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic
FK Jablonec
3 : 2 FT
Teplice
βœ“ Win 43%
Draw 27%
Win 30%
Under 2.5 57%
#9 Premier League Β· England
Fulham
5 : 0 FT
Nottingham Forest
βœ“ Win 44%
Draw 25%
Win 31%
✓ Over 2.5 53% BTTS Yes 56%
#10 K League 1 Β· South-Korea
Busan I Park
2 : 1 FT
Suwon City FC
βœ“ Win 38%
Draw 27%
Win 35%
✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#11 Premier League Β· England
Brighton
2 : 1 FT
Brentford
βœ“ Win 39%
Draw 26%
Win 35%
✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#12 Premier League Β· England
Manchester United
2 : 1 FT
Chelsea
Win 30%
Draw 24%
Win 46%
✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
#13 Premier League Β· England
Crystal Palace
0 : 2 FT
Bournemouth
Win 51%
Draw 22%
Win 27%
Over 2.5 62% BTTS Yes 62%
#14 Serie A Β· Brazil
Goias
1 : 0 FT
America Mineiro
βœ“ Win 41%
Draw 25%
Win 34%
Over 2.5 53% BTTS Yes 57%
#15 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic
Mlada Boleslav
1 : 3 FT
Plzen
Win 49%
Draw 23%
Win 28%
✓ Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
#16 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Kristiansund BK
0 : 2 FT
Valerenga
Win 41%
Draw 25%
Win 35%
Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 59%
#17 Ligue 2 Β· France
Annecy
1 : 2 FT
Caen
Win 47%
Draw 23%
Win 30%
✓ Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
#18 Premier League Β· England
Aston Villa
1 : 0 FT
Manchester City
βœ“ Win 58%
Draw 19%
Win 23%
Over 2.5 75% BTTS Yes 71%
#19 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
Waalwijk
2 : 3 FT
Ajax
Win 38%
Draw 26%
Win 36%
✓ Over 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS Yes 70%

Showing top 19 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet β€” common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Wednesday 6 December 2023?

19 fixtures met the criteria, led by Marseille vs Lyon at 49% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.