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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability β€” Sunday 12 November 2023

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet β€” making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

20 fixtures cleared the bar on Sunday 12 November 2023. Nizhny Novgorod vs Baltika sits top on 58% in the Premier League. The shortlist runs from 58% down to 41%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

The shortlist spans seven different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, nine landed the clean sheet market — 45%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Premier League Β· Russia
Nizhny Novgorod
0 : 0 FT
Baltika
Win 66%
Draw 23%
Win 10%
✓ Under 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS No 64% ✓ Nizhny Novgorod Clean Sheet 58%
#2 Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Beşiktaş
1 : 0 FT
Başakşehir
βœ“ Win 55%
Draw 31%
Win 14%
✓ Under 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS No 66% ✓ Beşiktaş Clean Sheet 57%
#3 La Liga Β· Spain
Barcelona
2 : 1 FT
Alaves
βœ“ Win 66%
Draw 23%
Win 11%
Under 2.5 56% BTTS No 61% Barcelona Clean Sheet 55%
#4 Super League 1 Β· Greece
PAOK
2 : 1 FT
Panetolikos
βœ“ Win 69%
Draw 23%
Win 7%
BTTS No 55%
#5 Super League 1 Β· Greece
AEK Athens FC
3 : 0 FT
Lamia
βœ“ Win 59%
Draw 30%
Win 11%
Under 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS No 57%
#6 Ligue 1 Β· France
Lille
1 : 1 FT
Toulouse
Win 55%
Draw 32%
Win 14%
✓ Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 60%
#7 Serie A Β· Brazil
RB Bragantino
2 : 2 FT
Botafogo
Win 40%
Draw 35%
Win 25%
Under 2.5 76% BTTS No 68%
#8 Premier League Β· Ukraine
Zorya Luhansk
1 : 2 FT
LNZ Cherkasy
Win 41%
Draw 33%
Win 25%
Under 2.5 74% BTTS No 66%
#9 Serie B Β· Italy
Lecco
3 : 2 FT
Parma
Win 8%
Draw 17%
Win 75%
✓ Over 2.5 63%
#10 Serie A Β· Brazil
Palmeiras
3 : 0 FT
Internacional
βœ“ Win 51%
Draw 29%
Win 20%
Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 61%
#11 Bundesliga Β· Germany
RB Leipzig
3 : 1 FT
SC Freiburg
βœ“ Win 73%
Draw 18%
Win 8%
✓ Over 2.5 64%
#12 Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Rizespor
1 : 0 FT
İstanbulspor
βœ“ Win 41%
Draw 34%
Win 25%
✓ Under 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS No 59%
#13 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
Union St. Gilloise
3 : 0 FT
Kortrijk
βœ“ Win 71%
Draw 20%
Win 9%
✓ Over 2.5 65% BTTS Yes 54%
#14 Serie B Β· Italy
Spezia
2 : 2 FT
Ternana
Win 30%
βœ“ Draw 36%
Win 34%
Under 2.5 74% BTTS No 64%
#15 Super League 1 Β· Greece
Asteras Tripolis
0 : 2 FT
Olympiakos Piraeus
Win 12%
Draw 27%
βœ“ Win 61%
Over 2.5 54%
#16 Serie A Β· Brazil
Cuiaba
2 : 1 FT
Fortaleza EC
βœ“ Win 41%
Draw 31%
Win 28%
Under 2.5 68% BTTS No 61%
#17 Premier League Β· England
Aston Villa
3 : 1 FT
Fulham
βœ“ Win 71%
Draw 17%
Win 12%
✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 53%
#18 Serie A Β· Italy
Inter
2 : 0 FT
Frosinone
βœ“ Win 71%
Draw 17%
Win 12%
Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 53%
#19 Serie A Β· Brazil
Santos
0 : 0 FT
Sao Paulo
Win 57%
Draw 24%
Win 19%
#20 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic
Plzen
1 : 4 FT
Slovácko
Win 66%
Draw 20%
Win 15%
✓ Over 2.5 58%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet β€” common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Sunday 12 November 2023?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Nizhny Novgorod vs Baltika at 58% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.