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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability β€” Saturday 11 November 2023

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet β€” making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Saturday 11 November 2023. Juventus vs Cagliari led the list at 53% in the Serie A. The shortlist runs from 53% down to 42%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

The shortlist spans seven different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, seven landed the clean sheet market — 35%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Serie A Β· Italy
Juventus
2 : 1 FT
Cagliari
βœ“ Win 69%
Draw 20%
Win 11%
BTTS No 60% Juventus Clean Sheet 53%
#2 League One Β· England
Shrewsbury
3 : 2 FT
Reading
βœ“ Win 57%
Draw 27%
Win 15%
Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 63%
#3 Serie A Β· Brazil
Flamengo
1 : 1 FT
Fluminense
Win 57%
Draw 27%
Win 16%
✓ Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 63%
#4 Ligue 2 Β· France
Laval
0 : 3 FT
Concarneau
Win 52%
Draw 30%
Win 18%
Under 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS No 65%
#5 Serie B Β· Italy
Feralpisalo
3 : 3 FT
Bari
Win 13%
Draw 26%
Win 61%
Under 2.5 58% BTTS No 59%
#6 Championship Β· England
Sheffield Wednesday
0 : 4 FT
Millwall
Win 21%
Draw 30%
βœ“ Win 49%
Under 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS No 65%
#7 Superettan Β· Sweden
Vasteras SK FK
0 : 2 FT
Ostersunds FK
Win 64%
Draw 22%
Win 14%
✓ Under 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS No 58%
#8 Championship Β· England
Watford
5 : 0 FT
Rotherham
βœ“ Win 67%
Draw 20%
Win 13%
✓ BTTS No 56%
#9 League One Β· England
Peterborough
5 : 0 FT
Cambridge United
βœ“ Win 53%
Draw 28%
Win 19%
Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 61%
#10 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
Twente
3 : 3 FT
NEC Nijmegen
Win 61%
Draw 27%
Win 12%
BTTS No 53%
#11 Bundesliga Β· Germany
Bayern München
4 : 2 FT
1. FC Heidenheim
βœ“ Win 91%
Draw 6%
Win 3%
✓ Over 2.5 87% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#12 La Liga Β· Spain
Real Madrid
5 : 1 FT
Valencia
βœ“ Win 64%
Draw 22%
Win 14%
#13 League One Β· England
Lincoln
1 : 1 FT
Port Vale
Win 56%
Draw 26%
Win 18%
✓ Under 2.5 57% BTTS No 56%
#14 Serie A Β· Brazil
Coritiba
1 : 0 FT
Cruzeiro
Win 23%
Draw 31%
Win 46%
✓ Under 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS No 61%
#15 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
ŁKS Łódź
3 : 3 FT
Piast Gliwice
Win 20%
Draw 28%
Win 52%
Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 56%
#16 Superettan Β· Sweden
Skövde AIK
1 : 0 FT
Helsingborg
βœ“ Win 64%
Draw 21%
Win 15%
Over 2.5 53%
#17 Premier League Β· England
Arsenal
3 : 1 FT
Burnley
βœ“ Win 76%
Draw 15%
Win 10%
✓ Over 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS Yes 53%
#18 League One Β· England
Leyton Orient
2 : 3 FT
Oxford United
Win 19%
Draw 25%
βœ“ Win 57%
#19 League One Β· England
Portsmouth
2 : 2 FT
Charlton
Win 53%
Draw 27%
Win 21%
Under 2.5 56% BTTS No 54%
#20 Serie B Β· Italy
Sudtirol
1 : 2 FT
Pisa
Win 39%
Draw 34%
Win 27%
Under 2.5 68% BTTS No 59%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet β€” common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Saturday 11 November 2023?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Juventus vs Cagliari at 53% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.