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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability β€” Friday 3 November 2023

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet β€” making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

20 fixtures cleared the bar on Friday 3 November 2023. Shamrock Rovers vs Sligo Rovers sits top on 55% in the Premier Division. The shortlist runs from 55% down to 30%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Premier Division supplies four of the top 10, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, twelve landed the clean sheet market — 60%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Premier Division Β· Ireland
Shamrock Rovers
4 : 2 FT
Sligo Rovers
βœ“ Win 74%
Draw 18%
Win 8%
✓ Over 2.5 54% BTTS No 59% Shamrock Rovers Clean Sheet 55%
#2 Premier Division Β· Ireland
Drogheda United
2 : 4 FT
Shelbourne
Win 28%
Draw 38%
Win 34%
Under 2.5 79% BTTS No 70%
#3 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Helmond Sport
1 : 0 FT
Telstar
βœ“ Win 59%
Draw 26%
Win 15%
✓ Under 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS No 54%
#4 La Liga Β· Spain
Las Palmas
2 : 1 FT
Atletico Madrid
Win 18%
Draw 27%
Win 55%
Under 2.5 59% BTTS No 56%
#5 Premier Division Β· Ireland
UCD
1 : 5 FT
Dundalk
Win 18%
Draw 27%
βœ“ Win 55%
Under 2.5 57% BTTS No 55%
#6 Championship Β· England
Leicester
0 : 1 FT
Leeds
Win 53%
Draw 26%
Win 21%
✓ Under 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS No 55%
#7 Premier Division Β· Ireland
Derry City
3 : 0 FT
St Patrick's Athl.
βœ“ Win 47%
Draw 30%
Win 23%
Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 57%
#8 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Jagiellonia
4 : 0 FT
Stal Mielec
βœ“ Win 59%
Draw 26%
Win 15%
#9 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al Shabab
1 : 0 FT
Al-Ittihad FC
Win 23%
Draw 26%
Win 52%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
#10 Superettan Β· Sweden
Utsikten
0 : 0 FT
Gefle IF
Win 61%
Draw 21%
Win 17%
Over 2.5 56%
#11 Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium
Zulte Waregem
0 : 1 FT
Oostende
Win 34%
Draw 32%
βœ“ Win 34%
✓ Under 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS No 62%
#12 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Piast Gliwice
0 : 0 FT
Korona Kielce
Win 41%
Draw 33%
Win 26%
✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 54%
#13 Premier Division Β· Ireland
Bohemians
4 : 0 FT
Cork City
βœ“ Win 68%
Draw 19%
Win 13%
✓ Over 2.5 65% BTTS Yes 57%
#14 Serie A Β· Italy
Bologna
1 : 0 FT
Lazio
βœ“ Win 42%
Draw 29%
Win 28%
✓ Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 54%
#15 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
FC Porto
0 : 1 FT
Estoril
Win 60%
Draw 21%
Win 19%
Over 2.5 62% BTTS Yes 58%
#16 Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates
Al-Ittihad Kalba
1 : 3 FT
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai
Win 16%
Draw 22%
βœ“ Win 62%
✓ Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
#17 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
Fortuna Düsseldorf
1 : 3 FT
SV Wehen
Win 47%
Draw 26%
Win 27%
✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#18 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
VVV Venlo
2 : 2 FT
Jong AZ
Win 51%
Draw 26%
Win 23%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
#19 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
De Graafschap
1 : 0 FT
NAC Breda
βœ“ Win 45%
Draw 28%
Win 27%
BTTS Yes 57%
#20 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al Taee
3 : 3 FT
Al-Fayha
Win 31%
Draw 26%
Win 43%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet β€” common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Friday 3 November 2023?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Shamrock Rovers vs Sligo Rovers at 55% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.