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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability — Saturday 4 November 2023

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet — making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

20 matches cleared our threshold on Saturday 4 November 2023. The strongest reading belongs to Nantong Zhiyun vs Tianjin Teda at 56% in the Super League. The shortlist runs from 56% down to 43%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Czech Liga supplies three of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, eleven landed the clean sheet market — 55%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Super League · China
Nantong Zhiyun
1 : 2 FT
Tianjin Teda
Win 14%
Draw 27%
✓ Win 59%
Under 2.5 66% BTTS No 66% Tianjin Teda Clean Sheet 56%
#2 Ligue 2 · France
Grenoble
0 : 3 FT
Ajaccio
Win 60%
Draw 25%
Win 14%
Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 63% Grenoble Clean Sheet 54%
#3 Championship · England
Bristol City
1 : 0 FT
Sheffield Wednesday
✓ Win 60%
Draw 25%
Win 15%
✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 63%
#4 Serie A · Italy
AC Milan
0 : 1 FT
Udinese
Win 59%
Draw 25%
Win 16%
✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 62%
#5 Serie B · Italy
Cosenza
1 : 1 FT
Feralpisalo
Win 68%
Draw 22%
Win 10%
Over 2.5 55%
#6 Czech Liga · Czech-Republic
Pardubice
0 : 1 FT
Zlin
Win 47%
Draw 30%
Win 23%
✓ Under 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS No 63%
#7 Czech Liga · Czech-Republic
Slovácko
0 : 0 FT
Hradec Králové
Win 58%
Draw 25%
Win 17%
✓ Under 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS No 58%
#8 Bundesliga · Austria
Austria Vienna
1 : 0 FT
Austria Lustenau
✓ Win 47%
Draw 33%
Win 21%
✓ Under 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS No 60%
#9 Super League · China
Shandong Luneng
5 : 1 FT
Henan Jianye
✓ Win 73%
Draw 17%
Win 10%
✓ Over 2.5 62%
#10 Czech Liga · Czech-Republic
Sparta Praha
2 : 0 FT
Bohemians 1905
✓ Win 69%
Draw 19%
Win 12%
Over 2.5 56%
#11 Challenger Pro League · Belgium
K. Lierse S.K.
2 : 2 FT
SK Beveren
Win 24%
Draw 30%
Win 47%
Under 2.5 67% BTTS No 62%
#12 Serie A · Brazil
America Mineiro
1 : 1 FT
Atletico-MG
Win 15%
Draw 23%
Win 62%
BTTS No 54%
#13 Ligue 2 · France
Angers
2 : 0 FT
Valenciennes
✓ Win 51%
Draw 28%
Win 21%
✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 58%
#14 Serie B · Italy
Sampdoria
1 : 0 FT
Palermo
Win 14%
Draw 25%
Win 62%
#15 Ligue 2 · France
Saint Etienne
0 : 1 FT
Paris FC
Win 51%
Draw 28%
Win 20%
✓ Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 56%
#16 Premier League · England
Manchester City
6 : 1 FT
Bournemouth
✓ Win 74%
Draw 15%
Win 10%
✓ Over 2.5 66%
#17 Allsvenskan · Sweden
IFK Varnamo
0 : 0 FT
Hammarby FF
Win 35%
Draw 33%
Win 31%
✓ Under 2.5 75% ✓ BTTS No 66%
#18 Challenger Pro League · Belgium
Francs Borains
2 : 1 FT
Standard Liège II
✓ Win 49%
Draw 28%
Win 23%
Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 58%
#19 Premier League · Russia
Akhmat
1 : 2 FT
Fakel
Win 46%
Draw 29%
Win 25%
Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 59%
#20 Super League · China
Dalian Aerbin
2 : 3 FT
SHANGHAI SIPG
Win 16%
Draw 23%
✓ Win 61%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet — common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Saturday 4 November 2023?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Nantong Zhiyun vs Tianjin Teda at 56% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.