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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability β€” Friday 27 October 2023

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet β€” making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

20 matches cleared our threshold on Friday 27 October 2023. Shelbourne vs UCD led the list at 55% in the Premier Division. The shortlist runs from 55% down to 34%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Premier Division supplies four of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, eleven landed the clean sheet market — 55%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Premier Division Β· Ireland
Shelbourne
3 : 2 FT
UCD
βœ“ Win 77%
Draw 16%
Win 7%
✓ Over 2.5 57% BTTS No 59% Shelbourne Clean Sheet 55%
#2 Serie A Β· Brazil
Vasco DA Gama
1 : 2 FT
Internacional
Win 45%
Draw 33%
Win 22%
Under 2.5 71% BTTS No 64%
#3 Ligue 1 Β· France
Clermont Foot
0 : 1 FT
Nice
Win 21%
Draw 33%
βœ“ Win 46%
✓ Under 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS No 60%
#4 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Korona Kielce
5 : 3 FT
Puszcza Niepołomice
βœ“ Win 56%
Draw 28%
Win 16%
Under 2.5 55% BTTS No 53%
#5 Premier Division Β· Ireland
St Patrick's Athl.
0 : 2 FT
Shamrock Rovers
Win 41%
Draw 31%
Win 28%
✓ Under 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS No 61%
#6 Premier Division Β· Ireland
Cork City
0 : 1 FT
Derry City
Win 24%
Draw 28%
βœ“ Win 47%
✓ Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 55%
#7 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
4 : 0 FT
VfL Osnabrück
βœ“ Win 73%
Draw 17%
Win 10%
✓ Over 2.5 69% BTTS Yes 56%
#8 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
Eintracht Braunschweig
1 : 4 FT
Fortuna Düsseldorf
Win 19%
Draw 26%
βœ“ Win 55%
#9 Premier Division Β· Ireland
Dundalk
2 : 0 FT
Bohemians
βœ“ Win 54%
Draw 25%
Win 21%
#10 Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium
Oostende
0 : 0 FT
Patro Eisden
Win 27%
Draw 28%
Win 45%
✓ Under 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS No 54%
#11 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
De Graafschap
2 : 1 FT
FC Eindhoven
βœ“ Win 35%
Draw 33%
Win 32%
Under 2.5 66% BTTS No 57%
#12 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
3 : 1 FT
Al-Ahli Jeddah
βœ“ Win 70%
Draw 17%
Win 13%
✓ Over 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
#13 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Telstar
1 : 0 FT
FC OSS
βœ“ Win 50%
Draw 27%
Win 23%
#14 Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates
Hatta SC
0 : 5 FT
Al-Wasl FC
Win 13%
Draw 17%
βœ“ Win 70%
✓ Over 2.5 69% BTTS Yes 60%
#15 Premier League Β· Russia
Rubin
1 : 0 FT
Baltika
βœ“ Win 36%
Draw 31%
Win 32%
✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 54%
#16 Serie B Β· Italy
Cittadella
1 : 2 FT
Cremonese
Win 24%
Draw 30%
βœ“ Win 46%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#17 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al Taee
3 : 2 FT
Al Riyadh
βœ“ Win 50%
Draw 25%
Win 25%
✓ BTTS Yes 53%
#18 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
ŁKS Łódź
0 : 5 FT
Gornik Zabrze
Win 30%
Draw 31%
βœ“ Win 39%
Under 2.5 58%
#19 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Roda
2 : 1 FT
Jong Ajax
βœ“ Win 81%
Draw 12%
Win 7%
✓ Over 2.5 83% ✓ BTTS Yes 65%
#20 Serie A Β· Italy
Genoa
1 : 0 FT
Salernitana
βœ“ Win 52%
Draw 25%
Win 22%
Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 56%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet β€” common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Friday 27 October 2023?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Shelbourne vs UCD at 55% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.