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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability β€” Saturday 28 October 2023

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet β€” making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

20 matches cleared our threshold on Saturday 28 October 2023. Rizespor vs Galatasaray led the list at 54% in the Süper Lig. The shortlist runs from 54% down to 43%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

The shortlist spans nine different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, nine landed the clean sheet market — 45%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Rizespor
0 : 1 FT
Galatasaray
Win 16%
Draw 34%
βœ“ Win 50%
✓ Under 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS No 65% ✓ Galatasaray Clean Sheet 54%
#2 Serie A Β· Italy
Juventus
1 : 0 FT
Hellas Verona
βœ“ Win 58%
Draw 27%
Win 15%
✓ Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 61%
#3 Super League 1 Β· Greece
Atromitos
3 : 2 FT
Panetolikos
βœ“ Win 50%
Draw 35%
Win 15%
Under 2.5 67% BTTS No 60%
#4 League One Β· England
Wigan
2 : 0 FT
Shrewsbury
βœ“ Win 61%
Draw 24%
Win 15%
✓ Under 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS No 60%
#5 Serie B Β· Italy
Spezia
0 : 0 FT
Cosenza
Win 24%
βœ“ Draw 40%
Win 36%
✓ Under 2.5 78% ✓ BTTS No 68%
#6 League Two Β· England
Stockport County
2 : 0 FT
Tranmere
βœ“ Win 72%
Draw 18%
Win 10%
Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS No 55%
#7 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Benfica
1 : 1 FT
Casa Pia
Win 56%
Draw 26%
Win 18%
✓ Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 60%
#8 Bundesliga Β· Austria
Red Bull Salzburg
3 : 0 FT
SCR Altach
βœ“ Win 40%
Draw 39%
Win 21%
Under 2.5 73% ✓ BTTS No 63%
#9 League Two Β· England
Morecambe
4 : 1 FT
AFC Wimbledon
Win 26%
Draw 34%
Win 40%
Under 2.5 76% BTTS No 68%
#10 Ligue 2 Β· France
Concarneau
2 : 1 FT
Ajaccio
βœ“ Win 44%
Draw 32%
Win 24%
Under 2.5 70% BTTS No 63%
#11 Premier League Β· Ukraine
Ruh Lviv
0 : 0 FT
Oleksandria
Win 47%
Draw 30%
Win 23%
✓ Under 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS No 61%
#12 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al-Fayha
1 : 3 FT
Al-Nassr
Win 21%
Draw 27%
βœ“ Win 52%
Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 59%
#13 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic
Baník Ostrava
0 : 1 FT
FK Jablonec
Win 61%
Draw 23%
Win 16%
✓ BTTS No 54%
#14 League One Β· England
Port Vale
1 : 2 FT
Cheltenham
Win 45%
Draw 30%
Win 25%
Under 2.5 68% BTTS No 62%
#15 Championship Β· England
QPR
1 : 2 FT
Leicester
Win 9%
Draw 15%
βœ“ Win 76%
✓ Over 2.5 67%
#16 League One Β· England
Bristol Rovers
2 : 1 FT
Northampton
βœ“ Win 55%
Draw 25%
Win 20%
Under 2.5 57% BTTS No 56%
#17 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Warta Poznań
1 : 1 FT
Piast Gliwice
Win 29%
βœ“ Draw 37%
Win 33%
✓ Under 2.5 75% BTTS No 65%
#18 League One Β· England
Reading
2 : 3 FT
Portsmouth
Win 26%
Draw 30%
βœ“ Win 44%
Under 2.5 67% BTTS No 61%
#19 Ligue 2 Β· France
Paris FC
2 : 2 FT
Estac Troyes
Win 48%
Draw 29%
Win 23%
Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 58%
#20 Premier League Β· Ukraine
Zorya Luhansk
0 : 1 FT
Polessya
Win 25%
Draw 31%
βœ“ Win 44%
✓ Under 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS No 59%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet β€” common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Saturday 28 October 2023?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Rizespor vs Galatasaray at 54% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.