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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability β€” Sunday 24 September 2023

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet β€” making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Sunday 24 September 2023. Olympiakos Piraeus vs Kifisia sits top on 56% in the Super League 1. The shortlist runs from 56% down to 38%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

The shortlist spans seven different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, eleven landed the clean sheet market — 55%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Super League 1 Β· Greece
Olympiakos Piraeus
4 : 0 FT
Kifisia
βœ“ Win 83%
Draw 14%
Win 3%
✓ Over 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS No 57% ✓ Olympiakos Piraeus Clean Sheet 56%
#2 La Liga Β· Spain
Real Betis
1 : 1 FT
Cadiz
Win 55%
Draw 29%
Win 16%
✓ Under 2.5 68% BTTS No 65% Real Betis Clean Sheet 54%
#3 Serie A Β· Brazil
Atletico-MG
1 : 0 FT
Cuiaba
βœ“ Win 47%
Draw 31%
Win 21%
✓ Under 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS No 63%
#4 Serie B Β· Italy
Parma
1 : 1 FT
Sampdoria
Win 49%
Draw 32%
Win 19%
✓ Under 2.5 66% BTTS No 59%
#5 Premier League Β· Russia
FC Krasnodar
2 : 0 FT
Ural
βœ“ Win 53%
Draw 29%
Win 18%
✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 58%
#6 Serie B Β· Italy
Cittadella
0 : 3 FT
Como
Win 40%
Draw 36%
Win 24%
Under 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS No 63%
#7 K League 1 Β· South-Korea
Gwangju FC
0 : 1 FT
Jeonbuk Motors
Win 48%
Draw 29%
Win 23%
✓ Under 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS No 61%
#8 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Legia Warszawa
2 : 1 FT
Gornik Zabrze
βœ“ Win 63%
Draw 23%
Win 14%
#9 Super League 1 Β· Greece
PAS Giannina
1 : 3 FT
PAOK
Win 44%
Draw 36%
Win 20%
Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 55%
#10 Serie A Β· Italy
Atalanta
2 : 0 FT
Cagliari
βœ“ Win 64%
Draw 22%
Win 14%
Over 2.5 55%
#11 Eliteserien Β· Norway
ODD Ballklubb
1 : 1 FT
Haugesund
Win 47%
Draw 29%
Win 25%
✓ Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 58%
#12 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
PEC Zwolle
0 : 3 FT
AZ Alkmaar
Win 17%
Draw 30%
βœ“ Win 53%
Under 2.5 53%
#13 Canadian Premier League Β· Canada
Atlético Ottawa
0 : 1 FT
Valour
Win 47%
Draw 29%
Win 24%
✓ Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 55%
#14 Premier League Β· Ukraine
FC Kharkiv
0 : 0 FT
Kolos Kovalivka
Win 37%
Draw 32%
Win 31%
✓ Under 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS No 61%
#15 Ligue 1 Β· France
Lens
2 : 1 FT
Toulouse
βœ“ Win 38%
Draw 33%
Win 30%
Under 2.5 68% BTTS No 59%
#16 Serie A Β· Italy
Torino
1 : 1 FT
AS Roma
Win 39%
Draw 33%
Win 28%
✓ Under 2.5 66% BTTS No 57%
#17 La Liga Β· Spain
Real Sociedad
4 : 3 FT
Getafe
βœ“ Win 56%
Draw 23%
Win 20%
#18 Serie A Β· Italy
Empoli
0 : 1 FT
Inter
Win 22%
Draw 29%
βœ“ Win 49%
✓ Under 2.5 56%
#19 Superettan Β· Sweden
Utsikten
2 : 3 FT
Trelleborg
Win 59%
Draw 24%
Win 17%
✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 53%
#20 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Zaglebie Lubin
1 : 0 FT
Warta Poznań
βœ“ Win 43%
Draw 31%
Win 26%
✓ Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 53%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet β€” common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Sunday 24 September 2023?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Olympiakos Piraeus vs Kifisia at 56% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.