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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability — Friday 22 September 2023

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet — making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

20 fixtures cleared the bar on Friday 22 September 2023. The strongest reading belongs to UCD vs Shamrock Rovers at 52% in the Premier Division. The shortlist runs from 52% down to 35%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Premier Division supplies three of the top 10, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, ten landed the clean sheet market — 50%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Premier Division · Ireland
UCD
0 : 0 FT
Shamrock Rovers
Win 12%
Draw 21%
Win 67%
✓ BTTS No 59%
#2 Serie A · Italy
Lecce
1 : 0 FT
Genoa
✓ Win 50%
Draw 31%
Win 19%
✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 58%
#3 Premier Division · Ireland
Shelbourne
2 : 1 FT
Cork City
✓ Win 62%
Draw 23%
Win 15%
BTTS No 54%
#4 Bundesliga · Germany
VfB Stuttgart
3 : 1 FT
SV Darmstadt 98
✓ Win 86%
Draw 10%
Win 4%
✓ Over 2.5 79% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#5 Premier Division · Ireland
St Patrick's Athl.
3 : 1 FT
Dundalk
✓ Win 55%
Draw 26%
Win 19%
Under 2.5 57% BTTS No 55%
#6 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Roda
4 : 1 FT
Den Bosch
✓ Win 73%
Draw 16%
Win 11%
✓ Over 2.5 64%
#7 Serie B · Italy
Palermo
0 : 1 FT
Cosenza
Win 48%
Draw 32%
Win 20%
✓ Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 55%
#8 Ekstraklasa · Poland
Korona Kielce
1 : 1 FT
Widzew Łódź
Win 47%
Draw 31%
Win 22%
✓ Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 56%
#9 Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al Riyadh
1 : 3 FT
Al-Fayha
Win 22%
Draw 27%
✓ Win 51%
Under 2.5 59% BTTS No 55%
#10 Veikkausliiga · Finland
Honka
0 : 3 FT
VPS
Win 42%
Draw 30%
Win 28%
Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 58%
#11 Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al Okhdood
0 : 1 FT
Al Khaleej Saihat
Win 22%
Draw 26%
✓ Win 52%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
#12 Premier Division · Ireland
Drogheda United
0 : 0 FT
Bohemians
Win 45%
Draw 28%
Win 26%
✓ Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 54%
#13 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Jong Utrecht
3 : 2 FT
Cambuur
✓ Win 56%
Draw 23%
Win 20%
#14 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Helmond Sport
1 : 2 FT
Groningen
Win 44%
Draw 28%
Win 28%
Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 54%
#15 Serie A · Italy
Salernitana
1 : 1 FT
Frosinone
Win 41%
Draw 31%
Win 28%
✓ Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 53%
#16 Veikkausliiga · Finland
Kooteepee
0 : 3 FT
Ilves
Win 26%
Draw 27%
✓ Win 47%
Under 2.5 55%
#17 Süper Lig · Turkey
Gaziantep FK
2 : 0 FT
İstanbulspor
Win 16%
Draw 28%
Win 56%
Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 58%
#18 Championship · England
Birmingham
0 : 0 FT
QPR
Win 43%
Draw 30%
Win 27%
✓ Under 2.5 57%
#19 Ekstraklasa · Poland
ŁKS Łódź
2 : 2 FT
Jagiellonia
Win 37%
Draw 33%
Win 30%
Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 53%
#20 Premier Division · Ireland
Sligo Rovers
1 : 0 FT
Derry City
Win 25%
Draw 26%
Win 49%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet — common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Friday 22 September 2023?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by UCD vs Shamrock Rovers at 52% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.