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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability — Monday 22 May 2023

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet — making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

20 matches cleared our threshold on Monday 22 May 2023. Le Havre vs Valenciennes led the list at 47% in the Ligue 2. The shortlist runs from 47% down to 24%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

The shortlist spans seven different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, nine landed the clean sheet market — 45%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Ligue 2 · France
Le Havre
0 : 2 FT
Valenciennes
Win 50%
Draw 29%
Win 21%
✓ Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 61%
#2 Veikkausliiga · Finland
AC Oulu
1 : 3 FT
Honka
Win 23%
Draw 38%
✓ Win 39%
Under 2.5 68% BTTS No 57%
#3 Serie A · Italy
AS Roma
2 : 2 FT
Salernitana
Win 54%
Draw 26%
Win 20%
Under 2.5 55% BTTS No 53%
#4 Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Damac
1 : 0 FT
Abha
✓ Win 48%
Draw 27%
Win 25%
✓ Under 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS No 55%
#5 Serie A · Italy
Empoli
4 : 1 FT
Juventus
Win 29%
Draw 31%
Win 41%
Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 57%
#6 Veikkausliiga · Finland
Kooteepee
0 : 2 FT
SJK
Win 22%
Draw 34%
✓ Win 44%
✓ Under 2.5 58%
#7 Canadian Premier League · Canada
Cavalry FC
2 : 0 FT
Atlético Ottawa
Win 15%
Draw 27%
Win 58%
Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 57%
#8 Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al-Ettifaq
0 : 4 FT
Al-Fateh
Win 44%
Draw 28%
Win 28%
Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 54%
#9 Allsvenskan · Sweden
IFK Varnamo
0 : 1 FT
Kalmar FF
Win 36%
Draw 33%
Win 31%
✓ Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 56%
#10 Superettan · Sweden
Vasteras SK FK
2 : 1 FT
Osters IF
✓ Win 45%
Draw 27%
Win 27%
Under 2.5 57%
#11 Ekstraklasa · Poland
Warta Poznań
1 : 1 FT
Piast Gliwice
Win 32%
Draw 31%
Win 37%
✓ Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 56%
#12 Veikkausliiga · Finland
Inter Turku
1 : 1 FT
Mariehamn
Win 46%
Draw 32%
Win 22%
✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#13 Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al Wehda Club
1 : 4 FT
Al Khaleej Saihat
Win 35%
Draw 30%
Win 35%
Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 57%
#14 Premier League · Russia
Nizhny Novgorod
4 : 0 FT
FC Sochi
✓ Win 42%
Draw 29%
Win 29%
Under 2.5 57%
#15 Premier League · England
Newcastle
0 : 0 FT
Leicester
Win 69%
Draw 17%
Win 14%
Over 2.5 72% BTTS Yes 62%
#16 Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al-Fayha
1 : 1 FT
Al-Raed
Win 45%
Draw 26%
Win 29%
#17 Veikkausliiga · Finland
Haka
2 : 2 FT
VPS
Win 60%
Draw 24%
Win 16%
✓ Over 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
#18 Allsvenskan · Sweden
IFK Norrkoping
1 : 2 FT
IF Elfsborg
Win 41%
Draw 28%
Win 31%
✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#19 Eredivisie · Netherlands
FC Eindhoven
1 : 0 FT
Almere City FC
✓ Win 45%
Draw 28%
Win 28%
Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 60%
#20 Süper Lig · Turkey
Trabzonspor
4 : 1 FT
Fatih Karagümrük
✓ Win 45%
Draw 23%
Win 32%
✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet — common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Monday 22 May 2023?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Le Havre vs Valenciennes at 47% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.