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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability β€” Saturday 29 April 2023

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet β€” making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

20 fixtures cleared the bar on Saturday 29 April 2023. SC Braga vs Portimonense sits top on 62% in the Primeira Liga. The shortlist runs from 62% down to 45%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

The shortlist spans eight different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, ten landed the clean sheet market — 50%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
SC Braga
4 : 1 FT
Portimonense
βœ“ Win 70%
Draw 21%
Win 9%
Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 68% SC Braga Clean Sheet 62%
#2 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
GIL Vicente
0 : 2 FT
Benfica
Win 22%
Draw 34%
βœ“ Win 44%
✓ Under 2.5 77% ✓ BTTS No 70% ✓ Benfica Clean Sheet 53%
#3 Super League 1 Β· Greece
Asteras Tripolis
0 : 0 FT
Lamia
Win 49%
Draw 36%
Win 15%
✓ Under 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS No 62% ✓ Asteras Tripolis Clean Sheet 53%
#4 La Liga Β· Spain
Barcelona
4 : 0 FT
Real Betis
βœ“ Win 58%
Draw 26%
Win 16%
Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 63%
#5 Ligue 2 Β· France
Grenoble
2 : 0 FT
Niort
βœ“ Win 44%
Draw 34%
Win 22%
✓ Under 2.5 76% ✓ BTTS No 69%
#6 Premier League Β· Russia
Krylia Sovetov
1 : 5 FT
Zenit
Win 22%
Draw 36%
βœ“ Win 42%
Under 2.5 77% BTTS No 69%
#7 League One Β· England
Forest Green
0 : 3 FT
Oxford United
Win 24%
Draw 34%
βœ“ Win 42%
Under 2.5 77% ✓ BTTS No 69%
#8 League One Β· England
Ipswich
6 : 0 FT
Exeter City
βœ“ Win 83%
Draw 11%
Win 6%
✓ Over 2.5 70%
#9 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Bodo/Glimt
2 : 2 FT
Brann
Win 76%
Draw 16%
Win 7%
✓ Over 2.5 63%
#10 Championship Β· England
Reading
1 : 1 FT
Wigan
Win 47%
Draw 32%
Win 21%
✓ Under 2.5 70% BTTS No 64%
#11 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand
Lamphun Warrior
2 : 1 FT
Lampang FC
βœ“ Win 53%
Draw 28%
Win 19%
Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 61%
#12 Super League 1 Β· Greece
Panetolikos
2 : 2 FT
Levadiakos
Win 48%
Draw 35%
Win 16%
Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 57%
#13 Premier League Β· England
Brentford
2 : 1 FT
Nottingham Forest
βœ“ Win 72%
Draw 17%
Win 11%
✓ Over 2.5 59%
#14 League Two Β· England
Doncaster
1 : 0 FT
Colchester
Win 20%
Draw 31%
Win 49%
✓ Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 59%
#15 League Two Β· England
Northampton
1 : 2 FT
Bradford
Win 30%
Draw 38%
Win 32%
Under 2.5 79% BTTS No 69%
#16 Championship Β· England
Sheffield Utd
4 : 1 FT
Preston
βœ“ Win 62%
Draw 23%
Win 14%
BTTS No 54%
#17 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
Halmstad
0 : 2 FT
IF Brommapojkarna
Win 74%
Draw 16%
Win 10%
Over 2.5 62%
#18 Veikkausliiga Β· Finland
HJK Helsinki
2 : 0 FT
Haka
βœ“ Win 58%
Draw 29%
Win 13%
#19 League One Β· England
Milton Keynes Dons
4 : 4 FT
Barnsley
Win 22%
Draw 28%
Win 49%
Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 59%
#20 Veikkausliiga Β· Finland
VPS
0 : 0 FT
Honka
Win 28%
βœ“ Draw 43%
Win 30%
✓ Under 2.5 77% ✓ BTTS No 65%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet β€” common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Saturday 29 April 2023?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by SC Braga vs Portimonense at 62% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.