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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability β€” Saturday 15 April 2023

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet β€” making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

20 matches cleared our threshold on Saturday 15 April 2023. Villarreal vs Valladolid led the list at 56% in the La Liga. The shortlist runs from 56% down to 44%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

The shortlist spans seven different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, eight landed the clean sheet market — 40%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 La Liga Β· Spain
Villarreal
1 : 2 FT
Valladolid
Win 73%
Draw 18%
Win 9%
BTTS No 62% Villarreal Clean Sheet 56%
#2 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
FC Porto
2 : 1 FT
Santa Clara
βœ“ Win 71%
Draw 19%
Win 10%
BTTS No 61% FC Porto Clean Sheet 55%
#3 Championship Β· England
QPR
0 : 3 FT
Coventry
Win 14%
Draw 27%
βœ“ Win 59%
Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 62% ✓ Coventry Clean Sheet 53%
#4 Serie B Β· Italy
Genoa
2 : 0 FT
Perugia
βœ“ Win 51%
Draw 30%
Win 19%
✓ Under 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS No 65%
#5 Premier League Β· Ukraine
Metal Kharkiv
5 : 5 FT
Veres Rivne
Win 22%
Draw 32%
Win 46%
Under 2.5 73% BTTS No 67%
#6 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Chaves
1 : 0 FT
Benfica
Win 13%
Draw 21%
Win 66%
✓ BTTS No 57%
#7 Serie B Β· Italy
Cosenza
1 : 1 FT
Cittadella
Win 43%
Draw 33%
Win 24%
✓ Under 2.5 74% BTTS No 66%
#8 Ligue 2 Β· France
Sochaux
2 : 3 FT
PAU
Win 54%
Draw 27%
Win 19%
Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 61%
#9 League One Β· England
Ipswich
6 : 0 FT
Charlton
βœ“ Win 68%
Draw 21%
Win 12%
✓ BTTS No 55%
#10 League One Β· England
Lincoln
3 : 2 FT
Port Vale
βœ“ Win 50%
Draw 30%
Win 20%
Under 2.5 67% BTTS No 62%
#11 League One Β· England
Forest Green
1 : 5 FT
Barnsley
Win 18%
Draw 28%
βœ“ Win 54%
Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 59%
#12 Premier League Β· England
Tottenham
2 : 3 FT
Bournemouth
Win 67%
Draw 20%
Win 13%
✓ Over 2.5 53% BTTS No 53%
#13 Serie A Β· Italy
Napoli
0 : 0 FT
Hellas Verona
Win 59%
Draw 24%
Win 17%
✓ Under 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS No 57%
#14 League Two Β· England
Gillingham
1 : 1 FT
Stockport County
Win 26%
Draw 37%
Win 37%
✓ Under 2.5 74% BTTS No 65%
#15 Ligue 2 Β· France
Quevilly
2 : 2 FT
Dijon
Win 58%
Draw 24%
Win 18%
Under 2.5 56% BTTS No 56%
#16 Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Adana Demirspor
5 : 0 FT
Kasımpaşa
βœ“ Win 64%
Draw 21%
Win 15%
✓ BTTS No 53%
#17 Championship Β· England
Sheffield Utd
4 : 1 FT
Cardiff
βœ“ Win 51%
Draw 29%
Win 21%
Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 57%
#18 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
Waalwijk
2 : 1 FT
Groningen
βœ“ Win 63%
Draw 24%
Win 13%
✓ Over 2.5 54%
#19 Serie B Β· Italy
Ascoli
1 : 0 FT
Sudtirol
Win 28%
Draw 33%
Win 39%
✓ Under 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS No 63%
#20 Serie A Β· Italy
Inter
0 : 1 FT
Monza
Win 54%
Draw 26%
Win 20%
✓ Under 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS No 56%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet β€” common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Saturday 15 April 2023?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Villarreal vs Valladolid at 56% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.