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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability — Friday 14 April 2023

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet — making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

20 matches cleared our threshold on Friday 14 April 2023. Spezia vs Lazio led the list at 54% in the Serie A. The shortlist runs from 54% down to 33%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

The shortlist spans eight different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, six landed the clean sheet market — 30%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Serie A · Italy
Spezia
0 : 3 FT
Lazio
Win 16%
Draw 27%
✓ Win 57%
Under 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS No 65% ✓ Lazio Clean Sheet 54%
#2 Premier League · Ukraine
Ruh Lviv
1 : 1 FT
Dynamo Kyiv
Win 22%
Draw 30%
Win 49%
✓ Under 2.5 68% BTTS No 63%
#3 Ekstraklasa · Poland
Warta Poznań
3 : 1 FT
Slask Wroclaw
✓ Win 46%
Draw 33%
Win 20%
Under 2.5 67% BTTS No 60%
#4 Primeira Liga · Portugal
Famalicao
2 : 1 FT
Vitória SC
✓ Win 46%
Draw 30%
Win 25%
Under 2.5 67% BTTS No 61%
#5 Veikkausliiga · Finland
Kooteepee
0 : 0 FT
KuPS
Win 18%
Draw 34%
Win 48%
✓ Under 2.5 60%
#6 Serie A · Italy
Cremonese
1 : 0 FT
Empoli
Win 25%
Draw 28%
Win 47%
✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 57%
#7 Premier League · Ukraine
Inhulets
0 : 1 FT
Kolos Kovalivka
Win 39%
Draw 31%
Win 30%
✓ Under 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS No 61%
#8 2. Bundesliga · Germany
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
2 : 1 FT
SSV Jahn Regensburg
✓ Win 47%
Draw 28%
Win 25%
Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 56%
#9 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
PEC Zwolle
2 : 0 FT
Telstar
✓ Win 80%
Draw 12%
Win 8%
Over 2.5 75% BTTS Yes 56%
#10 La Liga · Spain
Rayo Vallecano
2 : 1 FT
Osasuna
✓ Win 37%
Draw 32%
Win 31%
Under 2.5 70% BTTS No 62%
#11 Ekstraklasa · Poland
Zaglebie Lubin
0 : 2 FT
Gornik Zabrze
Win 30%
Draw 36%
Win 34%
✓ Under 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS No 59%
#12 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Den Bosch
1 : 2 FT
Helmond Sport
Win 52%
Draw 25%
Win 23%
#13 Championship · England
Middlesbrough
5 : 1 FT
Norwich
✓ Win 49%
Draw 27%
Win 24%
Under 2.5 53%
#14 Serie B · Italy
Modena
1 : 1 FT
Parma
Win 38%
Draw 30%
Win 32%
✓ Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 57%
#15 Bundesliga · Austria
Ried
1 : 1 FT
WSG Wattens
Win 29%
Draw 28%
Win 43%
✓ Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 54%
#16 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
VVV Venlo
2 : 2 FT
FC Eindhoven
Win 48%
Draw 26%
Win 26%
Under 2.5 54%
#17 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
MVV
2 : 1 FT
Dordrecht
✓ Win 69%
Draw 17%
Win 14%
✓ Over 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
#18 Süper Lig · Turkey
Antalyaspor
3 : 1 FT
Alanyaspor
✓ Win 66%
Draw 18%
Win 16%
✓ Over 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
#19 Premier Division · Ireland
Shamrock Rovers
2 : 2 FT
Shelbourne
Win 45%
Draw 26%
Win 29%
Under 2.5 53%
#20 Veikkausliiga · Finland
Haka
2 : 2 FT
AC Oulu
Win 26%
Draw 34%
Win 40%
Under 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet — common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Friday 14 April 2023?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Spezia vs Lazio at 54% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.