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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability β€” Sunday 2 April 2023

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet β€” making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Sunday 2 April 2023. Real Madrid vs Valladolid sits top on 56% in the La Liga. The shortlist runs from 56% down to 40%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

The shortlist spans six different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, twelve landed the clean sheet market — 60%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 La Liga Β· Spain
Real Madrid
6 : 0 FT
Valladolid
βœ“ Win 75%
Draw 17%
Win 8%
✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS No 60% ✓ Real Madrid Clean Sheet 56%
#2 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Rio Ave
0 : 1 FT
Benfica
Win 18%
Draw 27%
βœ“ Win 55%
✓ Under 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS No 63%
#3 Super League 1 Β· Greece
Olympiakos Piraeus
2 : 2 FT
Aris Thessalonikis
Win 67%
Draw 25%
Win 8%
BTTS No 55%
#4 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
FC Porto
1 : 0 FT
Portimonense
βœ“ Win 77%
Draw 15%
Win 9%
Over 2.5 63%
#5 Serie A Β· Italy
Bologna
3 : 0 FT
Udinese
βœ“ Win 38%
Draw 35%
Win 27%
Under 2.5 77% ✓ BTTS No 69%
#6 Serie A Β· Italy
Monza
0 : 2 FT
Lazio
Win 20%
Draw 28%
βœ“ Win 51%
✓ Under 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS No 62%
#7 Ligue 1 Β· France
Nantes
0 : 3 FT
Reims
Win 29%
Draw 38%
Win 34%
Under 2.5 78% ✓ BTTS No 69%
#8 Premier League Β· Ukraine
Chornomorets
2 : 2 FT
Shakhtar Donetsk
Win 10%
Draw 16%
Win 75%
✓ Over 2.5 62%
#9 La Liga Β· Spain
Celta Vigo
2 : 2 FT
Almeria
Win 72%
Draw 17%
Win 11%
✓ Over 2.5 60%
#10 Super League 1 Β· Greece
Panathinaikos
0 : 0 FT
Volos NFC
Win 43%
Draw 38%
Win 20%
✓ Under 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS No 58%
#11 Premier League Β· England
West Ham
1 : 0 FT
Southampton
βœ“ Win 52%
Draw 27%
Win 21%
✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 59%
#12 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic
Sparta Praha
3 : 1 FT
Zbrojovka Brno
βœ“ Win 67%
Draw 23%
Win 10%
✓ Over 2.5 57%
#13 Ligue 1 Β· France
Angers
1 : 1 FT
Nice
Win 12%
Draw 21%
Win 67%
Over 2.5 56%
#14 Serie A Β· Italy
Napoli
0 : 4 FT
AC Milan
Win 70%
Draw 18%
Win 12%
✓ Over 2.5 59%
#15 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Cracovia Krakow
1 : 1 FT
Widzew Łódź
Win 45%
Draw 32%
Win 23%
✓ Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 58%
#16 Serie A Β· Italy
AS Roma
3 : 0 FT
Sampdoria
βœ“ Win 60%
Draw 23%
Win 17%
#17 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
1. FC Magdeburg
3 : 0 FT
Hansa Rostock
Win 31%
Draw 32%
Win 36%
Under 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS No 64%
#18 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
Utrecht
0 : 0 FT
FC Volendam
Win 52%
Draw 29%
Win 19%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
#19 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
Genk
2 : 1 FT
OH Leuven
βœ“ Win 56%
Draw 24%
Win 20%
#20 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
Union St. Gilloise
2 : 1 FT
St. Truiden
βœ“ Win 53%
Draw 25%
Win 22%
Under 2.5 54%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet β€” common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Sunday 2 April 2023?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Real Madrid vs Valladolid at 56% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.