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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability β€” Saturday 1 April 2023

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet β€” making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

20 matches cleared our threshold on Saturday 1 April 2023. Sporting CP vs Santa Clara led the list at 60% in the Primeira Liga. The shortlist runs from 60% down to 46%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

League Two supplies three of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, eleven landed the clean sheet market — 55%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Sporting CP
3 : 0 FT
Santa Clara
βœ“ Win 75%
Draw 17%
Win 8%
✓ BTTS No 65% ✓ Sporting CP Clean Sheet 60%
#2 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
2 : 0 FT
Al Khaleej Saihat
βœ“ Win 71%
Draw 20%
Win 9%
✓ BTTS No 62% ✓ Al-Hilal Saudi FC Clean Sheet 56%
#3 League Two Β· England
Barrow
2 : 1 FT
Gillingham
βœ“ Win 44%
Draw 36%
Win 20%
Under 2.5 77% BTTS No 69% Barrow Clean Sheet 54%
#4 Ligue 2 Β· France
PAU
0 : 1 FT
Le Havre
Win 22%
Draw 35%
βœ“ Win 43%
✓ Under 2.5 76% ✓ BTTS No 68%
#5 League One Β· England
Sheffield Wednesday
1 : 1 FT
Lincoln
Win 64%
Draw 23%
Win 13%
✓ Under 2.5 56% BTTS No 60%
#6 League Two Β· England
Northampton
1 : 1 FT
Stevenage
Win 41%
Draw 37%
Win 22%
✓ Under 2.5 76% BTTS No 68%
#7 Ligue 2 Β· France
Caen
2 : 1 FT
Dijon
βœ“ Win 58%
Draw 27%
Win 15%
Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 60%
#8 Championship Β· England
Bristol City
1 : 1 FT
Reading
Win 62%
Draw 24%
Win 14%
✓ Under 2.5 56% BTTS No 58%
#9 League Two Β· England
Walsall
1 : 1 FT
Sutton Utd
Win 36%
βœ“ Draw 38%
Win 26%
✓ Under 2.5 79% BTTS No 69%
#10 Super League 1 Β· Greece
Ionikos
1 : 0 FT
Asteras Tripolis
βœ“ Win 42%
Draw 39%
Win 19%
✓ Under 2.5 73% ✓ BTTS No 62%
#11 Serie B Β· Italy
Ascoli
4 : 3 FT
Brescia
βœ“ Win 39%
Draw 35%
Win 26%
Under 2.5 77% BTTS No 69%
#12 Championship Β· England
Hull City
0 : 0 FT
Rotherham
Win 51%
Draw 30%
Win 19%
✓ Under 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS No 62%
#13 La Liga Β· Spain
Elche
0 : 4 FT
Barcelona
Win 19%
Draw 28%
βœ“ Win 53%
Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 62%
#14 Championship Β· England
West Brom
0 : 0 FT
Millwall
Win 42%
Draw 34%
Win 24%
✓ Under 2.5 74% ✓ BTTS No 66%
#15 League One Β· England
Portsmouth
1 : 0 FT
Forest Green
βœ“ Win 67%
Draw 20%
Win 12%
✓ BTTS No 56%
#16 Championship Β· England
Luton
2 : 0 FT
Watford
βœ“ Win 49%
Draw 31%
Win 21%
✓ Under 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS No 62%
#17 League One Β· England
Barnsley
5 : 0 FT
Morecambe
βœ“ Win 79%
Draw 13%
Win 7%
✓ Over 2.5 67%
#18 Super League 1 Β· Greece
Panetolikos
1 : 3 FT
Lamia
Win 38%
Draw 40%
Win 22%
Under 2.5 72% BTTS No 61%
#19 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Vizela
3 : 1 FT
Casa Pia
βœ“ Win 48%
Draw 29%
Win 23%
Under 2.5 67% BTTS No 61%
#20 Premier League Β· Ukraine
Metal Kharkiv
0 : 0 FT
Kolos Kovalivka
Win 26%
Draw 31%
Win 43%
✓ Under 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS No 64%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet β€” common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Saturday 1 April 2023?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Sporting CP vs Santa Clara at 60% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.