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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability — Friday 31 March 2023

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet — making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

20 fixtures cleared the bar on Friday 31 March 2023. The strongest reading belongs to Genoa vs Reggina at 49% in the Serie B. The shortlist runs from 49% down to 31%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Premier Division supplies three of the top 10, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 14 landed the clean sheet market — 70%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Serie B · Italy
Genoa
1 : 0 FT
Reggina
✓ Win 56%
Draw 27%
Win 17%
✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 60%
#2 La Liga · Spain
Mallorca
0 : 0 FT
Osasuna
Win 43%
Draw 32%
Win 25%
✓ Under 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS No 65%
#3 Bundesliga · Germany
Eintracht Frankfurt
1 : 1 FT
VfL Bochum
Win 70%
Draw 21%
Win 9%
Over 2.5 61%
#4 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
MVV
3 : 2 FT
FC Eindhoven
✓ Win 63%
Draw 21%
Win 16%
#5 Premier Division · Ireland
Shelbourne
0 : 1 FT
Derry City
Win 29%
Draw 34%
✓ Win 37%
✓ Under 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS No 62%
#6 Premier Division · Ireland
St Patrick's Athl.
3 : 0 FT
UCD
✓ Win 51%
Draw 28%
Win 21%
Under 2.5 56%
#7 Championship · England
Burnley
0 : 0 FT
Sunderland
Win 57%
Draw 24%
Win 19%
#8 Premier Division · Ireland
Dundalk
0 : 4 FT
Shamrock Rovers
Win 48%
Draw 29%
Win 23%
Under 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS No 53%
#9 Ekstraklasa · Poland
Zaglebie Lubin
0 : 0 FT
Warta Poznań
Win 25%
Draw 30%
Win 45%
✓ Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 55%
#10 2. Bundesliga · Germany
1. FC Nürnberg
0 : 1 FT
SV Darmstadt 98
Win 37%
Draw 31%
Win 32%
✓ Under 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS No 61%
#11 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
PEC Zwolle
2 : 0 FT
Jong Utrecht
✓ Win 83%
Draw 11%
Win 7%
Over 2.5 81% BTTS Yes 60%
#12 League Two · England
Tranmere
1 : 1 FT
Harrogate Town
Win 39%
Draw 31%
Win 30%
✓ Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 54%
#13 Primeira Liga · Portugal
Estoril
1 : 0 FT
GIL Vicente
Win 23%
Draw 24%
Win 53%
#14 Pro League · United-Arab-Emirates
Al Wahda FC
0 : 0 FT
Sharjah FC
Win 22%
Draw 23%
Win 54%
Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 54%
#15 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
FC OSS
2 : 2 FT
Helmond Sport
Win 47%
Draw 26%
Win 27%
Under 2.5 54%
#16 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
VVV Venlo
1 : 3 FT
NAC Breda
Win 50%
Draw 25%
Win 25%
#17 Bundesliga · Austria
TSV Hartberg
0 : 1 FT
Austria Lustenau
Win 53%
Draw 24%
Win 23%
BTTS Yes 54%
#18 Ekstraklasa · Poland
Piast Gliwice
1 : 0 FT
Gornik Zabrze
✓ Win 38%
Draw 31%
Win 31%
✓ Under 2.5 60%
#19 Premier Division · Ireland
Cork City
1 : 1 FT
Drogheda United
Win 43%
Draw 29%
Win 29%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
#20 Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Zulte Waregem
0 : 2 FT
Antwerp
Win 20%
Draw 21%
✓ Win 59%
Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 61%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet — common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Friday 31 March 2023?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Genoa vs Reggina at 49% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.