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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability β€” Saturday 11 March 2023

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet β€” making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Saturday 11 March 2023. Tottenham vs Nottingham Forest sits top on 58% in the Premier League. The shortlist runs from 58% down to 44%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

The shortlist spans eight different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, ten landed the clean sheet market — 50%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Premier League Β· England
Tottenham
3 : 1 FT
Nottingham Forest
βœ“ Win 78%
Draw 15%
Win 7%
✓ Over 2.5 54% BTTS No 63% Tottenham Clean Sheet 58%
#2 Championship Β· England
West Brom
1 : 0 FT
Huddersfield
βœ“ Win 65%
Draw 23%
Win 12%
✓ Under 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS No 63% ✓ West Brom Clean Sheet 56%
#3 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
FC St. Pauli
2 : 1 FT
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
βœ“ Win 66%
Draw 22%
Win 13%
Under 2.5 55% BTTS No 60%
#4 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Vitória SC
0 : 2 FT
Arouca
Win 49%
Draw 30%
Win 21%
✓ Under 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS No 65%
#5 Championship Β· England
Burnley
3 : 0 FT
Wigan
βœ“ Win 68%
Draw 20%
Win 11%
✓ BTTS No 56%
#6 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
Seraing United
0 : 2 FT
Antwerp
Win 19%
Draw 30%
βœ“ Win 51%
✓ Under 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS No 62%
#7 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
Emmen
2 : 0 FT
Excelsior
βœ“ Win 63%
Draw 24%
Win 13%
✓ Under 2.5 53% ✓ BTTS No 56%
#8 League Two Β· England
Newport County
1 : 1 FT
Bradford
Win 21%
Draw 31%
Win 48%
✓ Under 2.5 68% BTTS No 62%
#9 League One Β· England
Bolton
0 : 2 FT
Ipswich
Win 51%
Draw 29%
Win 20%
✓ Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 61%
#10 Premier League Β· England
Crystal Palace
0 : 1 FT
Manchester City
Win 18%
Draw 26%
βœ“ Win 57%
✓ Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 59%
#11 League One Β· England
Charlton
1 : 1 FT
Accrington ST
Win 57%
Draw 26%
Win 17%
✓ Under 2.5 58% BTTS No 57%
#12 Serie A Β· Italy
Bologna
0 : 0 FT
Lazio
Win 26%
Draw 32%
Win 42%
✓ Under 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS No 64%
#13 League One Β· England
Milton Keynes Dons
1 : 0 FT
Cambridge United
βœ“ Win 42%
Draw 33%
Win 25%
✓ Under 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS No 63%
#14 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Korona Kielce
2 : 1 FT
Radomiak Radom
Win 27%
Draw 32%
Win 41%
Under 2.5 72% BTTS No 65%
#15 Serie B Β· Italy
Venezia
1 : 1 FT
Brescia
Win 44%
Draw 32%
Win 24%
✓ Under 2.5 69% BTTS No 62%
#16 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
Arminia Bielefeld
3 : 1 FT
SV Darmstadt 98
Win 19%
Draw 25%
Win 56%
Under 2.5 58% BTTS No 56%
#17 Championship Β· England
Bristol City
2 : 0 FT
Blackpool
βœ“ Win 53%
Draw 27%
Win 20%
✓ Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 57%
#18 Bundesliga Β· Germany
FC Schalke 04
2 : 2 FT
Borussia Dortmund
Win 14%
Draw 29%
Win 57%
#19 League One Β· England
Shrewsbury
3 : 1 FT
Morecambe
βœ“ Win 69%
Draw 19%
Win 12%
✓ Over 2.5 58%
#20 La Liga Β· Spain
Real Madrid
3 : 1 FT
Espanyol
βœ“ Win 61%
Draw 23%
Win 17%
BTTS No 53%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet β€” common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Saturday 11 March 2023?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Tottenham vs Nottingham Forest at 58% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.