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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability — Sunday 1 January 2023

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet — making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

20 matches cleared our threshold on Sunday 1 January 2023. The strongest reading belongs to Millwall vs Rotherham at 57% in the Championship. The shortlist runs from 57% down to 32%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

League Two supplies four of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, nine landed the clean sheet market — 45%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Championship · England
Millwall
3 : 0 FT
Rotherham
✓ Win 59%
Draw 27%
Win 14%
Under 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS No 68% ✓ Millwall Clean Sheet 57%
#2 League Two · England
Crewe
1 : 0 FT
Tranmere
Win 23%
Draw 30%
Win 47%
✓ Under 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS No 61%
#3 League One · England
Peterborough
0 : 3 FT
Wycombe
Win 48%
Draw 29%
Win 23%
Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 59%
#4 Championship · England
Huddersfield
1 : 2 FT
Luton
Win 32%
Draw 32%
✓ Win 36%
Under 2.5 71% BTTS No 63%
#5 League Two · England
Bradford
3 : 2 FT
Salford City
Win 26%
Draw 29%
Win 44%
Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 57%
#6 League Two · England
Grimsby
1 : 0 FT
Stockport County
Win 18%
Draw 22%
Win 60%
Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 53%
#7 League One · England
Plymouth
3 : 1 FT
Milton Keynes Dons
✓ Win 46%
Draw 28%
Win 26%
Under 2.5 58%
#8 Ligue 1 · France
Nantes
1 : 0 FT
Auxerre
✓ Win 68%
Draw 19%
Win 13%
Over 2.5 66% BTTS Yes 58%
#9 League Two · England
Sutton Utd
2 : 1 FT
AFC Wimbledon
✓ Win 38%
Draw 30%
Win 32%
Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 56%
#10 Championship · England
Coventry
1 : 1 FT
Bristol City
Win 43%
Draw 28%
Win 29%
✓ Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 54%
#11 League One · England
Forest Green
1 : 3 FT
Port Vale
Win 32%
Draw 30%
✓ Win 38%
Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 56%
#12 League Two · England
Walsall
2 : 1 FT
Mansfield Town
✓ Win 40%
Draw 30%
Win 31%
Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 55%
#13 Championship · England
Blackburn
1 : 0 FT
Cardiff
✓ Win 45%
Draw 27%
Win 29%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
#14 Premier League · England
Tottenham
0 : 2 FT
Aston Villa
Win 66%
Draw 19%
Win 15%
Over 2.5 67% BTTS Yes 60%
#15 Ligue 1 · France
Lyon
0 : 1 FT
Clermont Foot
Win 46%
Draw 27%
Win 27%
#16 League One · England
Portsmouth
1 : 3 FT
Charlton
Win 48%
Draw 26%
Win 26%
✓ BTTS Yes 53%
#17 League Two · England
Colchester
1 : 0 FT
Swindon Town
Win 31%
Draw 28%
Win 42%
✓ Under 2.5 56%
#18 League One · England
Bristol Rovers
2 : 1 FT
Cheltenham
Win 34%
Draw 29%
Win 37%
Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 53%
#19 Ligue 1 · France
Lens
3 : 1 FT
Paris Saint Germain
Win 29%
Draw 26%
Win 44%
#20 League Two · England
Hartlepool
3 : 3 FT
Harrogate Town
Win 26%
Draw 25%
Win 48%
✓ BTTS Yes 55%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet — common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Sunday 1 January 2023?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Millwall vs Rotherham at 57% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.