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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability — Friday 17 December 2021

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet — making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

19 fixtures cleared the bar on Friday 17 December 2021. The strongest reading belongs to Salernitana vs Inter at 52% in the Serie A. The shortlist runs from 52% down to 21%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

The shortlist spans eight different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Of the 19 fixtures on this list that have since finished, eleven landed the clean sheet market — 58%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Serie A · Italy
Salernitana
0 : 5 FT
Inter
Win 11%
Draw 19%
✓ Win 70%
✓ BTTS No 58%
#2 Championship · England
Barnsley
0 : 0 FT
West Brom
Win 22%
Draw 32%
Win 46%
✓ Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 57%
#3 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
MVV
0 : 1 FT
Emmen
Win 26%
Draw 28%
✓ Win 46%
✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 56%
#4 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
VVV Venlo
2 : 3 FT
FC OSS
Win 48%
Draw 27%
Win 25%
Under 2.5 59% BTTS No 55%
#5 Primeira Liga · Portugal
Santa Clara
1 : 0 FT
Vitória SC
Win 21%
Draw 32%
Win 47%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
#6 Ekstraklasa · Poland
Wisla Krakow
3 : 0 FT
Nieciecza
Win 33%
Draw 31%
Win 36%
Under 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS No 60%
#7 Bundesliga · Germany
Bayern München
4 : 0 FT
VfL Wolfsburg
✓ Win 68%
Draw 20%
Win 12%
✓ Over 2.5 68% BTTS Yes 60%
#8 La Liga · Spain
Celta Vigo
3 : 1 FT
Espanyol
Win 32%
Draw 33%
Win 35%
Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 56%
#9 Süper Lig · Turkey
Giresunspor
3 : 1 FT
Altay
✓ Win 42%
Draw 29%
Win 29%
Under 2.5 59%
#10 Ekstraklasa · Poland
Wisla Plock
1 : 0 FT
Lechia Gdansk
✓ Win 50%
Draw 24%
Win 25%
BTTS Yes 54%
#11 Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Seraing United
0 : 2 FT
Kortrijk
Win 29%
Draw 26%
✓ Win 45%
#12 Challenger Pro League · Belgium
Lommel United
1 : 1 FT
SK Beveren
Win 19%
Draw 28%
Win 53%
Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
#13 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Almere City FC
2 : 3 FT
FC Volendam
Win 20%
Draw 19%
✓ Win 60%
✓ Over 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%
#14 Serie A · Italy
Lazio
3 : 1 FT
Genoa
✓ Win 59%
Draw 20%
Win 21%
✓ Over 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%
#15 2. Bundesliga · Germany
Holstein Kiel
3 : 0 FT
FC St. Pauli
Win 30%
Draw 28%
Win 42%
✓ Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 65%
#16 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
ADO Den Haag
4 : 1 FT
NAC Breda
✓ Win 47%
Draw 23%
Win 30%
✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
#17 Primeira Liga · Portugal
Estoril
2 : 2 FT
Famalicao
Win 40%
Draw 28%
Win 32%
✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
#18 2. Bundesliga · Germany
Fortuna Düsseldorf
0 : 1 FT
SV Sandhausen
Win 36%
Draw 30%
Win 35%
Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 62%
#19 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Telstar
0 : 0 FT
Jong PSV U21
Win 27%
Draw 20%
Win 52%
Over 2.5 73% BTTS Yes 71%

Showing top 19 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet — common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Friday 17 December 2021?

19 fixtures met the criteria, led by Salernitana vs Inter at 52% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.