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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability — Saturday 4 December 2021

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet — making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Saturday 4 December 2021. Bristol City vs Derby sits top on 50% in the Championship. The shortlist runs from 50% down to 42%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Championship supplies four of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, eight landed the clean sheet market — 40%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Championship · England
Bristol City
1 : 0 FT
Derby
Win 33%
Draw 40%
Win 27%
✓ Under 2.5 81% ✓ BTTS No 71%
#2 Serie B · Italy
Crotone
1 : 2 FT
Spal
Win 24%
Draw 33%
✓ Win 43%
Under 2.5 73% BTTS No 66%
#3 Championship · England
Nottingham Forest
2 : 0 FT
Peterborough
✓ Win 59%
Draw 27%
Win 14%
✓ Under 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS No 56%
#4 Bundesliga · Germany
FC Augsburg
2 : 3 FT
VfL Bochum
Win 66%
Draw 23%
Win 10%
✓ Over 2.5 53%
#5 Premier League · Russia
Lokomotiv
0 : 1 FT
Ural
Win 47%
Draw 31%
Win 22%
✓ Under 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS No 60%
#6 Allsvenskan · Sweden
AIK Stockholm
4 : 2 FT
Sirius
✓ Win 68%
Draw 19%
Win 13%
✓ Over 2.5 54%
#7 Championship · England
Millwall
3 : 1 FT
Birmingham
Win 35%
Draw 37%
Win 27%
Under 2.5 75% BTTS No 65%
#8 La Liga · Spain
Atletico Madrid
1 : 2 FT
Mallorca
Win 64%
Draw 22%
Win 14%
#9 League One · England
Sunderland
1 : 1 FT
Oxford United
Win 50%
Draw 28%
Win 22%
✓ Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 58%
#10 Championship · England
Blackpool
0 : 3 FT
Luton
Win 33%
Draw 38%
Win 30%
Under 2.5 76% ✓ BTTS No 66%
#11 La Liga · Spain
Real Sociedad
0 : 2 FT
Real Madrid
Win 25%
Draw 31%
✓ Win 44%
✓ Under 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS No 60%
#12 Ligue 2 · France
Auxerre
2 : 2 FT
Caen
Win 48%
Draw 28%
Win 24%
Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 59%
#13 Championship · England
Cardiff
2 : 3 FT
Sheffield Utd
Win 23%
Draw 33%
✓ Win 44%
Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 58%
#14 Primeira Liga · Portugal
Pacos Ferreira
1 : 2 FT
Vitória SC
Win 24%
Draw 39%
Win 38%
Under 2.5 68% BTTS No 57%
#15 Allsvenskan · Sweden
Malmo FF
0 : 0 FT
Halmstad
Win 56%
Draw 24%
Win 19%
✓ Under 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS No 54%
#16 Championship · England
Coventry
1 : 2 FT
West Brom
Win 45%
Draw 32%
Win 23%
Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 56%
#17 Allsvenskan · Sweden
Varbergs BoIS FC
0 : 3 FT
Mjallby AIF
Win 32%
Draw 33%
✓ Win 35%
Under 2.5 74% ✓ BTTS No 66%
#18 Ligue 1 · France
Lille
2 : 1 FT
Estac Troyes
✓ Win 50%
Draw 29%
Win 21%
Under 2.5 59% BTTS No 54%
#19 Premier League · England
West Ham
3 : 2 FT
Chelsea
Win 19%
Draw 26%
Win 55%
Under 2.5 54%
#20 Premier League · England
Wolves
0 : 1 FT
Liverpool
Win 15%
Draw 22%
✓ Win 63%
Over 2.5 55%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet — common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Saturday 4 December 2021?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Bristol City vs Derby at 50% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.