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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability β€” Wednesday 20 October 2021

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet β€” making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

The model shortlists twelve fixtures on Wednesday 20 October 2021. U. Catolica vs Santiago Wanderers sits top on 48% in the Primera División. The shortlist runs from 48% down to 29%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Championship supplies six of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the twelve fixtures on this list that have since finished, three landed the clean sheet market — 25%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Primera División Β· Chile
U. Catolica
3 : 2 FT
Santiago Wanderers
βœ“ Win 63%
Draw 23%
Win 14%
BTTS No 55%
#2 Championship Β· England
Middlesbrough
2 : 0 FT
Barnsley
βœ“ Win 49%
Draw 30%
Win 21%
✓ Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 59%
#3 Primera División Β· Chile
O'Higgins
1 : 2 FT
D. Melipilla
Win 56%
Draw 26%
Win 18%
Under 2.5 56% BTTS No 55%
#4 Serie A Β· Brazil
Ceara
1 : 2 FT
Palmeiras
Win 35%
Draw 37%
Win 28%
Under 2.5 74% BTTS No 64%
#5 Championship Β· England
Swansea
2 : 1 FT
West Brom
Win 28%
Draw 34%
Win 37%
Under 2.5 72% BTTS No 63%
#6 Championship Β· England
Hull City
1 : 2 FT
Peterborough
Win 52%
Draw 28%
Win 21%
Under 2.5 57% BTTS No 54%
#7 Championship Β· England
Preston
2 : 1 FT
Coventry
βœ“ Win 46%
Draw 30%
Win 24%
Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 54%
#8 Championship Β· England
Fulham
2 : 0 FT
Cardiff
βœ“ Win 66%
Draw 20%
Win 14%
Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 57%
#9 Primera División Β· Chile
D. La Serena
1 : 4 FT
Colo Colo
Win 22%
Draw 23%
βœ“ Win 55%
✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
#10 Championship Β· England
Huddersfield
0 : 0 FT
Birmingham
Win 44%
Draw 28%
Win 28%
#11 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand
Ratchaburi
1 : 2 FT
Bangkok United
Win 38%
Draw 28%
Win 34%
Under 2.5 57%
#12 Championship Β· England
Reading
2 : 3 FT
Blackpool
Win 45%
Draw 27%
Win 28%
✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%

Showing top 12 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet β€” common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Wednesday 20 October 2021?

twelve fixtures met the criteria, led by U. Catolica vs Santiago Wanderers at 48% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.