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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability — Friday 22 October 2021

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet — making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

20 fixtures cleared the bar on Friday 22 October 2021. The strongest reading belongs to Ajman vs Al-Dhafra at 51% in the Pro League. The shortlist runs from 51% down to 36%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

The shortlist spans six different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, four landed the clean sheet market — 20%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Pro League · United-Arab-Emirates
Ajman
1 : 3 FT
Al-Dhafra
Win 54%
Draw 32%
Win 14%
Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 59%
#2 Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Damac
1 : 0 FT
Al-Hazm
✓ Win 45%
Draw 36%
Win 19%
✓ Under 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS No 60%
#3 Bundesliga · Germany
FSV Mainz 05
4 : 1 FT
FC Augsburg
✓ Win 45%
Draw 36%
Win 19%
Under 2.5 68% BTTS No 59%
#4 Veikkausliiga · Finland
Lahti
0 : 0 FT
AC Oulu
Win 48%
Draw 29%
Win 23%
✓ Under 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS No 61%
#5 Ekstraklasa · Poland
Lech Poznan
4 : 1 FT
Wisla Plock
✓ Win 84%
Draw 11%
Win 6%
✓ Over 2.5 76%
#6 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
NAC Breda
3 : 0 FT
MVV
✓ Win 80%
Draw 13%
Win 7%
✓ Over 2.5 72%
#7 La Liga · Spain
Osasuna
1 : 1 FT
Granada CF
Win 34%
✓ Draw 35%
Win 30%
✓ Under 2.5 76% BTTS No 67%
#8 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Jong Utrecht
2 : 1 FT
FC OSS
✓ Win 47%
Draw 29%
Win 24%
Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 60%
#9 Veikkausliiga · Finland
SJK
4 : 2 FT
Ilves
✓ Win 63%
Draw 21%
Win 16%
#10 Ekstraklasa · Poland
Radomiak Radom
3 : 1 FT
Górnik Łęczna
✓ Win 57%
Draw 24%
Win 19%
#11 Primera División · Chile
Union La Calera
1 : 2 FT
Cobresal
Win 39%
Draw 32%
Win 30%
Under 2.5 69% BTTS No 62%
#12 Ligue 1 · France
Saint Etienne
2 : 2 FT
Angers
Win 21%
Draw 35%
Win 44%
Under 2.5 60%
#13 Premier League · Ukraine
FC Kharkiv
4 : 0 FT
Inhulets
✓ Win 45%
Draw 29%
Win 26%
Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 56%
#14 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Dordrecht
3 : 3 FT
Den Bosch
Win 30%
Draw 31%
Win 40%
Under 2.5 67% BTTS No 60%
#15 Primeira Liga · Portugal
Vitória SC
2 : 1 FT
Maritimo
Win 36%
Draw 39%
Win 26%
Under 2.5 67% BTTS No 56%
#16 Canadian Premier League · Canada
Cavalry FC
2 : 1 FT
Pacific FC
Win 31%
Draw 35%
Win 34%
Under 2.5 71% BTTS No 61%
#17 Premier League · Russia
Dynamo
4 : 1 FT
Khimki
✓ Win 45%
Draw 28%
Win 27%
Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 56%
#18 Premier League · Ukraine
Desna
1 : 1 FT
Oleksandria
Win 31%
Draw 30%
Win 39%
✓ Under 2.5 66% BTTS No 59%
#19 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
VVV Venlo
1 : 2 FT
De Graafschap
Win 26%
Draw 27%
✓ Win 47%
Under 2.5 56%
#20 Eredivisie · Netherlands
Willem II
1 : 1 FT
Fortuna Sittard
Win 49%
Draw 26%
Win 25%
✓ Under 2.5 53%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet — common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Friday 22 October 2021?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Ajman vs Al-Dhafra at 51% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.