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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability — Tuesday 19 October 2021

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet — making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

20 fixtures cleared the bar on Tuesday 19 October 2021. The strongest reading belongs to Bradford vs Hartlepool at 54% in the League Two. The shortlist runs from 54% down to 33%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

League Two supplies five of the top 10, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, nine landed the clean sheet market — 45%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 League Two · England
Bradford
1 : 3 FT
Hartlepool
Win 59%
Draw 28%
Win 13%
Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 62% Bradford Clean Sheet 54%
#2 League Two · England
Harrogate Town
2 : 2 FT
Tranmere
Win 46%
Draw 35%
Win 19%
Under 2.5 74% BTTS No 67% Harrogate Town Clean Sheet 53%
#3 Championship · England
Bristol City
1 : 2 FT
Nottingham Forest
Win 15%
Draw 30%
✓ Win 54%
Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 62%
#4 League Two · England
Newport County
2 : 2 FT
Carlisle
Win 56%
Draw 29%
Win 16%
Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 59%
#5 Superettan · Sweden
Landskrona BoIS
2 : 0 FT
Jonkopings Sodra
✓ Win 56%
Draw 26%
Win 18%
✓ Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 60%
#6 Serie A · Brazil
Sao Paulo
1 : 0 FT
Corinthians
Win 28%
Draw 40%
Win 31%
✓ Under 2.5 81% ✓ BTTS No 70%
#7 League Two · England
Northampton
3 : 0 FT
Stevenage
✓ Win 46%
Draw 33%
Win 21%
Under 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS No 62%
#8 League Two · England
Leyton Orient
1 : 1 FT
Forest Green
Win 24%
Draw 35%
Win 41%
✓ Under 2.5 71% BTTS No 62%
#9 League One · England
Oxford United
2 : 0 FT
Shrewsbury
✓ Win 57%
Draw 24%
Win 18%
✓ Under 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS No 55%
#10 Championship · England
Stoke City
0 : 1 FT
Bournemouth
Win 33%
Draw 37%
Win 30%
✓ Under 2.5 75% ✓ BTTS No 64%
#11 League Two · England
Colchester
1 : 1 FT
Bristol Rovers
Win 26%
Draw 34%
Win 40%
✓ Under 2.5 69% BTTS No 60%
#12 League One · England
Fleetwood Town
0 : 1 FT
Burton Albion
Win 52%
Draw 26%
Win 22%
✓ Under 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS No 53%
#13 League One · England
Gillingham
1 : 0 FT
Doncaster
✓ Win 49%
Draw 27%
Win 24%
✓ Under 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS No 54%
#14 League Two · England
Barrow
1 : 1 FT
Scunthorpe
Win 60%
Draw 24%
Win 16%
Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#15 Championship · England
Derby
2 : 2 FT
Luton
Win 32%
✓ Draw 35%
Win 33%
Under 2.5 69% BTTS No 59%
#16 League Two · England
Oldham
1 : 3 FT
Walsall
Win 31%
Draw 34%
✓ Win 35%
Under 2.5 66% BTTS No 57%
#17 League Two · England
Mansfield Town
1 : 1 FT
Port Vale
Win 26%
Draw 30%
Win 44%
✓ Under 2.5 56%
#18 League One · England
Portsmouth
0 : 4 FT
Ipswich
Win 55%
Draw 23%
Win 22%
✓ Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 56%
#19 Championship · England
Sheffield Utd
1 : 2 FT
Millwall
Win 44%
Draw 30%
Win 27%
Under 2.5 53%
#20 League Two · England
Salford City
0 : 0 FT
Rochdale
Win 46%
Draw 29%
Win 26%
BTTS Yes 54%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet — common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Tuesday 19 October 2021?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Bradford vs Hartlepool at 54% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.