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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability β€” Saturday 25 September 2021

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet β€” making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

20 matches cleared our threshold on Saturday 25 September 2021. Salford City vs Northampton led the list at 56% in the League Two. The shortlist runs from 56% down to 46%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

League Two supplies three of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, nine landed the clean sheet market — 45%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 League Two Β· England
Salford City
2 : 2 FT
Northampton
Win 32%
βœ“ Draw 43%
Win 24%
Under 2.5 86% BTTS No 77% Salford City Clean Sheet 56%
#2 League One Β· England
Plymouth
2 : 1 FT
Doncaster
βœ“ Win 59%
Draw 26%
Win 15%
Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 64% Plymouth Clean Sheet 54%
#3 Championship Β· England
Swansea
1 : 0 FT
Huddersfield
Win 16%
Draw 34%
Win 50%
✓ Under 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS No 64% Huddersfield Clean Sheet 53%
#4 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
Beerschot VA
0 : 3 FT
AS Eupen
Win 10%
Draw 18%
βœ“ Win 71%
✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS No 56%
#5 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
Utrecht
5 : 1 FT
PEC Zwolle
βœ“ Win 68%
Draw 20%
Win 12%
BTTS No 57%
#6 Primera División Β· Chile
Union La Calera
2 : 0 FT
O'Higgins
βœ“ Win 44%
Draw 36%
Win 21%
✓ Under 2.5 73% ✓ BTTS No 64%
#7 League Two Β· England
Forest Green
0 : 0 FT
Tranmere
Win 49%
Draw 32%
Win 18%
✓ Under 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS No 62%
#8 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al-Fateh
0 : 1 FT
Al-Hazm
Win 54%
Draw 32%
Win 14%
✓ Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 57%
#9 Serie B Β· Italy
Como
1 : 1 FT
Benevento
Win 19%
Draw 34%
Win 47%
✓ Under 2.5 68% BTTS No 61%
#10 League Two Β· England
Leyton Orient
0 : 0 FT
Mansfield Town
Win 63%
Draw 24%
Win 12%
✓ BTTS No 55%
#11 La Liga Β· Spain
Valencia
1 : 1 FT
Athletic Club
Win 34%
βœ“ Draw 41%
Win 25%
✓ Under 2.5 78% BTTS No 67%
#12 Ligue 2 Β· France
Bastia
2 : 0 FT
Ajaccio
Win 22%
Draw 37%
Win 41%
✓ Under 2.5 73% ✓ BTTS No 63%
#13 League One Β· England
Charlton
2 : 2 FT
Portsmouth
Win 32%
βœ“ Draw 37%
Win 31%
Under 2.5 81% BTTS No 72%
#14 Premier League Β· England
Chelsea
0 : 1 FT
Manchester City
Win 53%
Draw 28%
Win 20%
✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 60%
#15 Serie B Β· Italy
Monza
3 : 1 FT
Pordenone
βœ“ Win 49%
Draw 33%
Win 18%
Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 58%
#16 Championship Β· England
Bristol City
1 : 1 FT
Fulham
Win 17%
Draw 31%
Win 53%
✓ Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 56%
#17 La Liga Β· Spain
Alaves
1 : 0 FT
Atletico Madrid
Win 12%
Draw 29%
Win 59%
#18 League One Β· England
Oxford United
1 : 1 FT
Gillingham
Win 47%
Draw 30%
Win 24%
✓ Under 2.5 68% BTTS No 62%
#19 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
Karlsruher SC
1 : 3 FT
FC St. Pauli
Win 48%
Draw 33%
Win 18%
Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 56%
#20 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
Malmo FF
5 : 1 FT
Orebro SK
βœ“ Win 68%
Draw 21%
Win 11%
✓ Over 2.5 57%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet β€” common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Saturday 25 September 2021?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Salford City vs Northampton at 56% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.