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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability — Sunday 12 September 2021

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet — making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Sunday 12 September 2021. PAOK vs PAS Giannina sits top on 70% in the Super League 1. The shortlist runs from 70% down to 43%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Super League 1 supplies three of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, nine landed the clean sheet market — 45%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Super League 1 · Greece
PAOK
0 : 1 FT
PAS Giannina
Win 60%
Draw 33%
Win 7%
✓ Under 2.5 76% ✓ BTTS No 76% PAOK Clean Sheet 70%
#2 Serie A · Brazil
Atletico Goianiense
1 : 1 FT
Corinthians
Win 19%
✓ Draw 42%
Win 38%
✓ Under 2.5 86% BTTS No 78% Corinthians Clean Sheet 61%
#3 Super League 1 · Greece
AEK Athens FC
3 : 0 FT
Ionikos
✓ Win 47%
Draw 35%
Win 18%
Under 2.5 81% ✓ BTTS No 75% ✓ AEK Athens FC Clean Sheet 61%
#4 Super League 1 · Greece
Olympiakos Piraeus
0 : 0 FT
Atromitos
Win 47%
Draw 35%
Win 18%
✓ Under 2.5 81% ✓ BTTS No 75% ✓ Olympiakos Piraeus Clean Sheet 61%
#5 Serie A · Brazil
Gremio
2 : 0 FT
Ceara
✓ Win 41%
Draw 37%
Win 22%
✓ Under 2.5 77% ✓ BTTS No 68%
#6 Primeira Liga · Portugal
Vitória SC
0 : 0 FT
Belenenses
Win 52%
Draw 33%
Win 14%
✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 57%
#7 La Liga · Spain
Osasuna
1 : 4 FT
Valencia
Win 29%
Draw 43%
Win 29%
Under 2.5 81% BTTS No 69%
#8 Primeira Liga · Portugal
GIL Vicente
2 : 2 FT
Vizela
Win 57%
Draw 30%
Win 13%
Under 2.5 55% BTTS No 53%
#9 Allsvenskan · Sweden
Kalmar FF
4 : 1 FT
Degerfors IF
✓ Win 54%
Draw 29%
Win 17%
Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 57%
#10 Superettan · Sweden
Osters IF
2 : 0 FT
IFK Varnamo
Win 29%
Draw 34%
Win 37%
✓ Under 2.5 76% ✓ BTTS No 67%
#11 Eliteserien · Norway
Stromsgodset
1 : 2 FT
Kristiansund BK
Win 62%
Draw 25%
Win 13%
#12 Eredivisie · Netherlands
Waalwijk
1 : 2 FT
Vitesse
Win 55%
Draw 26%
Win 20%
Under 2.5 58% BTTS No 56%
#13 Serie A · Brazil
Fortaleza EC
0 : 2 FT
Atletico-MG
Win 43%
Draw 33%
Win 24%
✓ Under 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS No 60%
#14 La Liga · Spain
Real Madrid
5 : 2 FT
Celta Vigo
Win 31%
Draw 41%
Win 28%
Under 2.5 76% BTTS No 64%
#15 K League 1 · South-Korea
Seongnam FC
1 : 1 FT
FC Seoul
Win 30%
Draw 34%
Win 36%
✓ Under 2.5 73% BTTS No 64%
#16 Czech Liga · Czech-Republic
České Budějovice
0 : 1 FT
Hradec Králové
Win 47%
Draw 29%
Win 24%
✓ Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 58%
#17 La Liga · Spain
Espanyol
1 : 2 FT
Atletico Madrid
Win 29%
Draw 40%
Win 31%
Under 2.5 75% BTTS No 64%
#18 Primera División · Chile
Santiago Wanderers
2 : 1 FT
Cobresal
Win 19%
Draw 28%
Win 53%
Under 2.5 57% BTTS No 53%
#19 2. Bundesliga · Germany
1. FC Heidenheim
2 : 1 FT
Dynamo Dresden
Win 25%
Draw 40%
Win 35%
Under 2.5 71% BTTS No 59%
#20 Challenger Pro League · Belgium
SK Beveren
0 : 2 FT
KVC Westerlo
Win 17%
Draw 32%
✓ Win 51%
✓ Under 2.5 56%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet — common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Sunday 12 September 2021?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by PAOK vs PAS Giannina at 70% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.