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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability — Saturday 11 September 2021

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet — making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

20 matches cleared our threshold on Saturday 11 September 2021. Wigan vs Doncaster led the list at 61% in the League One. The shortlist runs from 61% down to 47%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

League One supplies three of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, six landed the clean sheet market — 30%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 League One · England
Wigan
2 : 1 FT
Doncaster
✓ Win 55%
Draw 30%
Win 15%
Under 2.5 74% BTTS No 72% Wigan Clean Sheet 61%
#2 Allsvenskan · Sweden
Sirius
1 : 0 FT
Ostersunds FK
✓ Win 63%
Draw 25%
Win 12%
✓ Under 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS No 60% ✓ Sirius Clean Sheet 53%
#3 League Two · England
Rochdale
1 : 0 FT
Tranmere
Win 30%
Draw 44%
Win 25%
✓ Under 2.5 84% ✓ BTTS No 72%
#4 K League 1 · South-Korea
Incheon United
1 : 2 FT
Jeju United FC
Win 37%
Draw 37%
Win 26%
Under 2.5 81% BTTS No 73%
#5 Pro League · United-Arab-Emirates
Al-Ittihad Kalba
1 : 1 FT
Ajman
Win 35%
✓ Draw 41%
Win 24%
✓ Under 2.5 81% BTTS No 71%
#6 Pro League · United-Arab-Emirates
Al-Jazira
2 : 1 FT
Al Nasr
✓ Win 51%
Draw 32%
Win 16%
Under 2.5 68% BTTS No 62%
#7 League One · England
Cambridge United
1 : 5 FT
Lincoln
Win 57%
Draw 26%
Win 17%
Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 62%
#8 Veikkausliiga · Finland
KuPS
3 : 0 FT
SJK
✓ Win 46%
Draw 32%
Win 22%
Under 2.5 74% ✓ BTTS No 67%
#9 Ligue 2 · France
Grenoble
2 : 1 FT
Nimes
Win 16%
Draw 33%
Win 51%
Under 2.5 66% BTTS No 60%
#10 League One · England
Sunderland
2 : 1 FT
Accrington ST
✓ Win 57%
Draw 26%
Win 17%
Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 61%
#11 League One · England
Milton Keynes Dons
1 : 0 FT
Portsmouth
✓ Win 43%
Draw 33%
Win 24%
✓ Under 2.5 75% ✓ BTTS No 68%
#12 League One · England
Burton Albion
1 : 1 FT
Gillingham
Win 48%
Draw 30%
Win 22%
✓ Under 2.5 70% BTTS No 65%
#13 Serie A · Brazil
Juventude
1 : 2 FT
Cuiaba
Win 24%
Draw 37%
✓ Win 39%
Under 2.5 76% BTTS No 67%
#14 Championship · England
Blackpool
1 : 0 FT
Fulham
Win 10%
Draw 22%
Win 68%
Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS No 53%
#15 Ligue 2 · France
Caen
1 : 2 FT
PAU
Win 38%
Draw 39%
Win 23%
Under 2.5 75% BTTS No 65%
#16 Serie B · Italy
Spal
1 : 1 FT
Monza
Win 61%
Draw 23%
Win 16%
✓ Under 2.5 56% BTTS No 57%
#17 League Two · England
Swindon Town
1 : 2 FT
Port Vale
Win 24%
Draw 40%
Win 36%
Under 2.5 75% BTTS No 64%
#18 League One · England
Shrewsbury
1 : 1 FT
Crewe
Win 44%
Draw 32%
Win 25%
✓ Under 2.5 72% BTTS No 65%
#19 Bundesliga · Austria
WSG Wattens
1 : 3 FT
Red Bull Salzburg
Win 20%
Draw 38%
✓ Win 42%
Under 2.5 70% BTTS No 60%
#20 Premier Division · Ireland
Longford Town
1 : 0 FT
Dundalk
Win 20%
Draw 27%
Win 53%
✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 60%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet — common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Saturday 11 September 2021?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Wigan vs Doncaster at 61% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.