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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability β€” Saturday 22 May 2021

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet β€” making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

20 matches cleared our threshold on Saturday 22 May 2021. AIK Stockholm vs Mjallby AIF led the list at 55% in the Allsvenskan. The shortlist runs from 55% down to 25%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Bundesliga supplies three of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, eight landed the clean sheet market — 40%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
AIK Stockholm
2 : 2 FT
Mjallby AIF
Win 53%
Draw 32%
Win 15%
Under 2.5 69% BTTS No 65% AIK Stockholm Clean Sheet 55%
#2 Bundesliga Β· Germany
Bayern München
5 : 2 FT
FC Augsburg
βœ“ Win 79%
Draw 15%
Win 6%
✓ Over 2.5 69%
#3 Primera División Β· Chile
Santiago Wanderers
0 : 0 FT
O'Higgins
Win 17%
Draw 29%
Win 53%
✓ Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 57%
#4 Veikkausliiga Β· Finland
SJK
0 : 2 FT
HJK Helsinki
Win 18%
Draw 35%
βœ“ Win 47%
✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 56%
#5 Superettan Β· Sweden
Jonkopings Sodra
3 : 1 FT
Landskrona BoIS
βœ“ Win 44%
Draw 32%
Win 25%
Under 2.5 67% BTTS No 60%
#6 Bundesliga Β· Germany
Borussia Dortmund
3 : 1 FT
Bayer Leverkusen
βœ“ Win 49%
Draw 32%
Win 19%
Under 2.5 59% BTTS No 54%
#7 Superettan Β· Sweden
Orgryte IS
0 : 2 FT
GIF Sundsvall
Win 28%
Draw 33%
βœ“ Win 40%
✓ Under 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS No 60%
#8 Primera División Β· Chile
Nublense
2 : 0 FT
Curico Unido
βœ“ Win 61%
Draw 24%
Win 15%
Over 2.5 54%
#9 Bundesliga Β· Germany
VfB Stuttgart
0 : 2 FT
Arminia Bielefeld
Win 53%
Draw 29%
Win 18%
#10 Veikkausliiga Β· Finland
Ilves
3 : 2 FT
KuPS
Win 15%
Draw 23%
Win 62%
✓ Over 2.5 56%
#11 K League 1 Β· South-Korea
Jeju United FC
2 : 2 FT
Seongnam FC
Win 31%
βœ“ Draw 37%
Win 32%
Under 2.5 68% BTTS No 57%
#12 Veikkausliiga Β· Finland
Inter Turku
2 : 1 FT
Kooteepee
Win 23%
Draw 35%
Win 42%
Under 2.5 58%
#13 Bundesliga Β· Germany
VfL Wolfsburg
2 : 3 FT
FSV Mainz 05
Win 45%
Draw 31%
Win 24%
Under 2.5 53%
#14 Primera División Β· Chile
Cobresal
2 : 0 FT
D. La Serena
Win 29%
Draw 31%
Win 40%
✓ Under 2.5 58%
#15 K League 1 Β· South-Korea
Ulsan Hyundai FC
1 : 0 FT
Pohang Steelers
βœ“ Win 44%
Draw 30%
Win 26%
BTTS Yes 56%
#16 Bundesliga Β· Germany
1899 Hoffenheim
2 : 1 FT
Hertha BSC
βœ“ Win 45%
Draw 30%
Win 25%
✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#17 Bundesliga Β· Germany
Eintracht Frankfurt
3 : 1 FT
SC Freiburg
βœ“ Win 56%
Draw 25%
Win 19%
✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
#18 Bundesliga Β· Germany
1. FC Köln
1 : 0 FT
FC Schalke 04
βœ“ Win 56%
Draw 25%
Win 19%
Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 64%
#19 Bundesliga Β· Germany
Werder Bremen
2 : 4 FT
Borussia Mönchengladbach
Win 29%
Draw 30%
βœ“ Win 41%
✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
#20 Bundesliga Β· Germany
Union Berlin
2 : 1 FT
RB Leipzig
Win 31%
Draw 29%
Win 39%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet β€” common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Saturday 22 May 2021?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by AIK Stockholm vs Mjallby AIF at 55% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.