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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability — Monday 24 May 2021

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet — making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Monday 24 May 2021. Waterford vs Finn Harps sits top on 51% in the Premier Division. The shortlist runs from 51% down to 22%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Premier Division supplies four of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the 15 fixtures on this list that have since finished, six landed the clean sheet market — 40%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Premier Division · Ireland
Waterford
1 : 2 FT
Finn Harps
Win 17%
Draw 29%
✓ Win 54%
Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 61%
#2 Premier Division · Ireland
Drogheda United
4 : 1 FT
Longford Town
✓ Win 53%
Draw 29%
Win 18%
Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 59%
#3 Superettan · Sweden
IFK Varnamo
1 : 0 FT
Akropolis
✓ Win 49%
Draw 29%
Win 22%
✓ Under 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS No 61%
#4 Eliteserien · Norway
Molde
– : – CANC
Viking
Win 80%
Draw 14%
Win 6%
Over 2.5 72%
#5 Premier Division · Ireland
Derry City
2 : 2 FT
St Patrick's Athl.
Win 21%
Draw 30%
Win 48%
Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 56%
#6 Superettan · Sweden
Trelleborg
0 : 1 FT
Vasteras SK FK
Win 39%
Draw 32%
Win 29%
✓ Under 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS No 63%
#7 Primera División · Chile
Universidad de Chile
0 : 1 FT
Everton de Vina
Win 34%
Draw 36%
Win 29%
✓ Under 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS No 57%
#8 Eliteserien · Norway
Sarpsborg 08 FF
– : – CANC
Bodo/Glimt
Win 27%
Draw 32%
Win 41%
Under 2.5 58%
#9 Premier Division · Ireland
Shamrock Rovers
0 : 1 FT
Sligo Rovers
Win 32%
Draw 30%
✓ Win 38%
✓ Under 2.5 60%
#10 Eliteserien · Norway
Lillestrom
– : – CANC
Rosenborg
Win 20%
Draw 27%
Win 54%
Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 58%
#11 Eliteserien · Norway
Brann
1 : 2 FT
Bodo/Glimt
Win 20%
Draw 26%
✓ Win 55%
✓ Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
#12 Allsvenskan · Sweden
Orebro SK
1 : 2 FT
Malmo FF
Win 30%
Draw 32%
✓ Win 38%
Under 2.5 55%
#13 Eliteserien · Norway
Mjondalen
1 : 1 FT
Valerenga
Win 30%
Draw 29%
Win 41%
✓ BTTS Yes 58%
#14 Allsvenskan · Sweden
IF Elfsborg
1 : 0 FT
IFK Norrkoping
Win 30%
Draw 29%
Win 40%
Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 59%
#15 Eliteserien · Norway
Haugesund
– : – CANC
Valerenga
Win 28%
Draw 27%
Win 45%
Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 61%
#16 Eliteserien · Norway
Lillestrom
1 : 3 FT
Viking
Win 49%
Draw 26%
Win 25%
✓ Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
#17 Eliteserien · Norway
ODD Ballklubb
1 : 1 FT
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Win 46%
Draw 25%
Win 29%
Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
#18 Premier Division · Ireland
Bohemians
5 : 1 FT
Dundalk
Win 32%
Draw 27%
Win 41%
✓ Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
#19 Eliteserien · Norway
Mjondalen
– : – CANC
ODD Ballklubb
Win 44%
Draw 27%
Win 30%
Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 64%
#20 Eliteserien · Norway
Haugesund
0 : 0 FT
Stabaek
Win 40%
Draw 27%
Win 33%
Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 64%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet — common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Monday 24 May 2021?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Waterford vs Finn Harps at 51% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.