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BTTS & Over 2.5 Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest BTTS & over 2.5 probability β€” Friday 22 September 2023

BTTS & Over 2.5 needs both teams to score and at least 3 goals β€” 2–1, 2–2, 3–1 and so on. The two conditions are correlated, so our prediction model reads this straight from the joint score matrix rather than multiplying the two markets together. Only fixtures with 40%+ probability are shown.

The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Friday 22 September 2023. 1. FC Magdeburg vs SC Paderborn 07 led the list at 67% in the 2. Bundesliga. The shortlist runs from 67% down to 40%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Eerste Divisie supplies four of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, nine landed the BTTS and over 2.5 market — 45%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany 67%
1. FC Magdeburg
1 : 1 FT
SC Paderborn 07
Win 60%
Draw 19%
Win 22%
Over 2.5 78% ✓ BTTS Yes 73%
#2 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands 60%
Dordrecht
0 : 0 FT
Jong AZ
Win 52%
Draw 21%
Win 27%
Over 2.5 70% BTTS Yes 68%
#3 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands 60%
NAC Breda
1 : 3 FT
Emmen
Win 42%
Draw 22%
Win 36%
✓ Over 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS Yes 69%
#4 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia 56%
Al-Nassr
4 : 3 FT
Al-Ahli Jeddah
βœ“ Win 70%
Draw 16%
Win 14%
✓ Over 2.5 73% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
#5 Superettan Β· Sweden 53%
IK brage
2 : 1 FT
Orebro SK
βœ“ Win 47%
Draw 25%
Win 28%
✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
#6 Veikkausliiga Β· Finland 51%
Lahti
2 : 1 FT
AC Oulu
Win 35%
Draw 24%
Win 41%
✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
#7 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands 50%
GO Ahead Eagles
3 : 0 FT
Fortuna Sittard
βœ“ Win 49%
Draw 28%
Win 23%
✓ Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 63%
#8 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands 50%
Jong PSV U21
0 : 0 FT
VVV Venlo
Win 38%
Draw 24%
Win 38%
Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 61%
#9 Bundesliga Β· Germany 49%
VfB Stuttgart
3 : 1 FT
SV Darmstadt 98
βœ“ Win 86%
Draw 10%
Win 4%
✓ Over 2.5 79% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#10 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands 49%
ADO Den Haag
1 : 1 FT
Telstar
Win 59%
Draw 21%
Win 20%
Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
#11 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany 48%
VfL Osnabrück
2 : 1 FT
Hamburger SV
Win 24%
Draw 24%
Win 52%
✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
#12 Ligue 1 Β· France 47%
Monaco
0 : 1 FT
Nice
Win 46%
Draw 28%
Win 26%
Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 60%
#13 Super League Β· China 47%
Changchun Yatai
1 : 1 FT
Beijing Guoan
Win 40%
Draw 25%
Win 35%
Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
#14 Süper Lig Β· Turkey 45%
Gaziantep FK
2 : 0 FT
İstanbulspor
Win 16%
Draw 28%
Win 56%
Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 58%
#15 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands 44%
Roda
4 : 1 FT
Den Bosch
βœ“ Win 73%
Draw 16%
Win 11%
✓ Over 2.5 64%
#16 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand 44%
Trat FC
2 : 1 FT
Port FC
Win 30%
Draw 27%
Win 43%
✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#17 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia 44%
Al Wehda Club
4 : 0 FT
Abha
βœ“ Win 51%
Draw 24%
Win 25%
✓ Over 2.5 53% BTTS Yes 55%
#18 Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium 43%
Patro Eisden
1 : 1 FT
Dender
Win 37%
Draw 26%
Win 37%
✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#19 Super League Β· China 41%
Shanghai Shenhua
2 : 0 FT
Shijiazhuang Y. J.
βœ“ Win 52%
Draw 25%
Win 24%
#20 Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium 40%
Zulte Waregem
2 : 1 FT
Deinze
Win 33%
Draw 26%
Win 41%

Showing top 20 fixtures by BTTS & over 2.5 probability (a 40% or higher BTTS & over 2.5 probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

BTTS & Over 2.5 β€” common questions

What does the BTTS & Over 2.5 market mean?

BTTS & Over 2.5 settles on whether a match sees both teams score and at least 3 total goals. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate BTTS and over 2.5 probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The BTTS & over 2.5 probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where both sides score and the total reaches 3 or more — taken from the joint score matrix rather than multiplying the two markets, because they rise and fall together. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for BTTS & Over 2.5 on Friday 22 September 2023?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by 1. FC Magdeburg vs SC Paderborn 07 at 67% BTTS & over 2.5 probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 40% or higher BTTS & over 2.5 probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these BTTS and over 2.5 predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.