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BTTS & Over 2.5 Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest BTTS & over 2.5 probability β€” Saturday 16 September 2023

BTTS & Over 2.5 needs both teams to score and at least 3 goals β€” 2–1, 2–2, 3–1 and so on. The two conditions are correlated, so our prediction model reads this straight from the joint score matrix rather than multiplying the two markets together. Only fixtures with 40%+ probability are shown.

20 fixtures cleared the bar on Saturday 16 September 2023. Wrexham vs Grimsby sits top on 71% in the League Two. The shortlist runs from 71% down to 52%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

League Two supplies three of the top 10, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, ten landed the BTTS and over 2.5 market — 50%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 League Two Β· England 71%
Wrexham
3 : 0 FT
Grimsby
Win 40%
Draw 20%
Win 40%
✓ Over 2.5 80% BTTS Yes 78%
#2 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal 64%
Farense
3 : 1 FT
SC Braga
Win 35%
Draw 21%
Win 44%
✓ Over 2.5 73% ✓ BTTS Yes 72%
#3 League Two Β· England 63%
Swindon Town
2 : 0 FT
Walsall
βœ“ Win 64%
Draw 18%
Win 19%
Over 2.5 76% BTTS Yes 70%
#4 Bundesliga Β· Germany 62%
RB Leipzig
3 : 0 FT
FC Augsburg
βœ“ Win 67%
Draw 18%
Win 15%
✓ Over 2.5 77% BTTS Yes 69%
#5 Bundesliga Β· Germany 60%
FSV Mainz 05
1 : 3 FT
VfB Stuttgart
Win 54%
Draw 22%
Win 24%
✓ Over 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS Yes 69%
#6 Bundesliga Β· Austria 58%
FC BW Linz
1 : 1 FT
SCR Altach
Win 20%
Draw 25%
Win 55%
Over 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS Yes 69%
#7 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden 56%
IFK Goteborg
1 : 0 FT
IF Brommapojkarna
βœ“ Win 61%
Draw 19%
Win 19%
Over 2.5 69% BTTS Yes 64%
#8 League Two Β· England 55%
Accrington ST
4 : 1 FT
Sutton Utd
βœ“ Win 44%
Draw 23%
Win 33%
✓ Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%
#9 K League 1 Β· South-Korea 55%
Pohang Steelers
2 : 0 FT
Suwon City FC
βœ“ Win 60%
Draw 20%
Win 20%
Over 2.5 68% BTTS Yes 64%
#10 K League 1 Β· South-Korea 55%
Ulsan Hyundai FC
1 : 1 FT
Daejeon Citizen
Win 56%
Draw 21%
Win 23%
Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
#11 Premier League Β· England 54%
Manchester United
1 : 3 FT
Brighton
Win 44%
Draw 23%
Win 33%
✓ Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
#12 Super League Β· China 53%
Meizhou Kejia
5 : 1 FT
Shenzhen Ruby FC
βœ“ Win 78%
Draw 13%
Win 9%
✓ Over 2.5 75% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
#13 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands 53%
Feyenoord
6 : 1 FT
Heerenveen
βœ“ Win 53%
Draw 25%
Win 22%
✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 65%
#14 Veikkausliiga Β· Finland 53%
AC Oulu
3 : 2 FT
Mariehamn
Win 34%
Draw 24%
Win 42%
✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
#15 Ligue 1 Β· France 53%
Rennes
2 : 2 FT
Lille
Win 60%
Draw 23%
Win 17%
✓ Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
#16 Premier League Β· England 53%
Fulham
1 : 0 FT
Luton
βœ“ Win 60%
Draw 20%
Win 20%
Over 2.5 65% BTTS Yes 62%
#17 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium 52%
Union St. Gilloise
0 : 2 FT
Genk
Win 42%
Draw 23%
Win 34%
Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 63%
#18 Bundesliga Β· Germany 52%
1. FC Köln
1 : 3 FT
1899 Hoffenheim
Win 38%
Draw 26%
Win 36%
✓ Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
#19 Bundesliga Β· Germany 52%
VfL Wolfsburg
2 : 1 FT
Union Berlin
βœ“ Win 44%
Draw 26%
Win 31%
✓ Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
#20 Serie B Β· Italy 52%
Lecco
0 : 2 FT
Brescia
Win 33%
Draw 27%
βœ“ Win 41%
Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 64%

Showing top 20 fixtures by BTTS & over 2.5 probability (a 40% or higher BTTS & over 2.5 probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

BTTS & Over 2.5 β€” common questions

What does the BTTS & Over 2.5 market mean?

BTTS & Over 2.5 settles on whether a match sees both teams score and at least 3 total goals. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate BTTS and over 2.5 probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The BTTS & over 2.5 probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where both sides score and the total reaches 3 or more — taken from the joint score matrix rather than multiplying the two markets, because they rise and fall together. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for BTTS & Over 2.5 on Saturday 16 September 2023?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Wrexham vs Grimsby at 71% BTTS & over 2.5 probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 40% or higher BTTS & over 2.5 probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these BTTS and over 2.5 predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.